The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Altrincham 19.3%
Draw 22.9%
Barnet 57.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.3%
26.4%
46.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.6%
24.8%
49.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Altrincham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Altrincham's form might have worsened.
Barnet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barnet's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altrincham than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Altrincham, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barnet, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
6.7%
6.7%
86.7%
Altrincham - Barnet Predictions
Users Predictions:
Barnet will win
(13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%). Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
26. Laiton R. (G) 4. Baines L. (C) 2. Banks L. 5. Cooper J. 23. Golden T. 14. Kosylo M. 9. Linney R. 8. Marriott I. 10. Newby A. 31. Olson C. 19. Wilson G.
13. Evans O. (G) 8. Browne R. 21. Clifford B. 4. Collinge D. 15. Glover R. 23. Grimwood J. 18. Hartigan A. (C) 11. Kanu I. 26. Kenlock M. 9. Ndlovu L. 10. Stead C.
Substitutes
11. Amaluzor J. 21. Ansen C. (G) 22. Crawford T. 6. Osborne E. 32. Pasiek K. 20. Reddin K. 17. Weaver L.
40. Bellagambi G. (G) 17. Brunt Z. 12. Chapman H. 3. Coker B. 32. Cropper J. 6. Okimo J. 14. Telford D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
16', Clifford B. 🟨,
43', Golden T. 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, Browne R. ⚽,
45+1', Wilson G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Golden T. ↓, Pasiek K. ↑,
46', Clifford B. ↓, Brunt Z. ↑,
52', Cooper J. ↓, Amaluzor J. ↑,
55', Grimwood J. 🟨,
68', Browne R. ↓, Chapman H. ↑,
70', Wilson G. ↓, Osborne E. ↑,
70', Marriott I. ↓, Crawford T. ↑,
80', Kanu I. 🟨,
86', Kanu I. ↓, Cropper J. ↑,
90+5', Grimwood J. ↓, Okimo J. ↑,
90+6', Chapman H. 🟨,
90+6', Kenlock M. 🟨,
Preview
One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Altrincham won 3.
Altrincham is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Barnet in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Altrincham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Barnet is a favorite.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Altrincham won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 18:26 (average 1.5:2.2).
Including matches at home between the teams Altrincham won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:12 (average 1.7:2).