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Current Win Probability
Rochdale 29.4%
Draw 27.3%
Barnet 43.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.3%
27.2%
34.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.5%
27.4%
34.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rochdale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rochdale's form might have worsened.
Barnet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barnet's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rochdale, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barnet, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Rochdale - Barnet Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Waller S. (G) 14. Adebayo-Rowling T. 7. Allarakhia T. 33. Beckwith S. 30. Buyabu J. 4. East R. 8. Gilmour H. 2. Gordon K. (C) 26. Hogan L. 9. Mitchell K. 10. Rodney D.
1. Savin T. (G) 8. Browne R. 15. Glover R. 23. Grimwood J. 18. Hartigan A. (C) 11. Kanu I. 26. Kenlock M. 9. Ndlovu L. 22. Oluwo A. 10. Stead C. 25. Tavares N.
Substitutes
15. Ayinde L. 18. Barlow A. 16. Ferguson K. 40. Henderson I. 28. Kingdon J. 21. McBride C. 31. Weston C.
40. Bellagambi G. (G) 17. Brunt Z. 12. Chapman H. 21. Clifford B. 3. Coker B. 32. Cropper J. 14. Telford D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Stead C. ⚽,
41', 0 - 2, Browne R. ⚽, Stead C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Ndlovu L. ↓, Telford D. ↑,
46', Buyabu J. ↓, Ayinde L. ↑,
49', Grimwood J. ↓, Cropper J. ↑,
50', 0 - 3, Telford D. ⚽, Hartigan A. (A),
54', Allarakhia T. ↓, Henderson I. ↑,
73', Rodney D. ↓, McBride C. ↑,
76', Browne R. ↓, Brunt Z. ↑,
78', East R. ↓, Kingdon J. ↑,
78', Gordon K. ↓, Weston C. ↑,
83', Stead C. ↓, Coker B. ↑,
85', 0 - 4, Glover R. ⚽,
85', Tavares N. ↓, Chapman H. ↑,
Preview
One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two).
Rochdale is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Barnet in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Rochdale could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Barnet will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Rochdale won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:6 (average 1.4:1.2).
Including matches at home between the teams Rochdale won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:2 (average 3:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Rochdale - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 38.26%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
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Waller S. (G) 
Allarakhia T. 
Mitchell K. 
Browne R. 
Kanu I. 
Ndlovu L. 
Tavares N. 
Ferguson K. 
Bellagambi G. (G) 
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