Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 45

Date: 22 April 2023, Saturday


	Altrincham		Torquay United

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.5	2.55
	2.35	3.2	2.6
	2.35	3.7	2.5
	2.43	3.71	2.75
	2.41	3.48	2.68
	2.4	3.35	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.02)	3.49 ↑ (3.4)	2.63 ↓ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Altrincham
38.7%

Draw
26.3%

Torquay United
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

26.9%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

27.7%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Altrincham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Altrincham's form might have worsened.

Torquay United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Torquay United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altrincham than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Altrincham, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torquay United than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Torquay United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	12.5%	75%

Altrincham - Torquay United Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Altrincham will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Torquay will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Torquay: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 15 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Altrincham won 2.

Altrincham is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Torquay is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Altrincham won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Altrincham won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Altrincham
English National League
18.04.23	Altrincham - Dagenham & Redbridge	2:2 ✺
15.04.23	Dorking Wanderers - Altrincham	3:2 ✺
10.04.23	Altrincham - Gateshead	0:1 ✺
07.04.23	Oldham Athletic - Altrincham	2:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
01.04.23	Altrincham - Halifax Town	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLLTL
- Torquay United
English National League
18.04.23	Chesterfield - Torquay United	5:1 ✺
15.04.23	Torquay United - York City	3:2 ✺
10.04.23	Maidenhead United - Torquay United	1:3 ✺
07.04.23	Torquay United - Eastleigh	2:0 ✺
01.04.23	Scunthorpe United - Torquay United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
22.10.22	Torquay United - Altrincham	4:4
22.01.22	Altrincham - Torquay United	1:2
21.08.21	Torquay United - Altrincham	1:3
29.05.21	Altrincham - Torquay United	0:0
02.02.21	Torquay United - Altrincham	1:2
12.04.16	Torquay United - Altrincham	2:0
31.10.15	Altrincham - Torquay United	1:1

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