Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 44

Date: 15 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Plainmoor (Torquay)


	Torquay United		York City

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	3.4
	2.2	3	2.95
	2.23	3.1	3.2
	2.31	3.16	3.4
	2.16	3.36	3.18
	2.2	3.2	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.73)	3.15 ↓ (3.25)	3.21 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torquay United
41.8%

Draw
29.4%

York City
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

28.7%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

29.4%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torquay United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Torquay United's performance.

York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and York City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torquay United than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Torquay United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for York City than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that York City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Torquay United - York City Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Torquay will win (votes: 2 - 50%). York will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 17).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Torquay won 1.

Torquay is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches York is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Torquay will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Torquay won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Torquay won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torquay United
English National League
10.04.23	Maidenhead United - Torquay United	1:3 ✺
07.04.23	Torquay United - Eastleigh	2:0 ✺
01.04.23	Scunthorpe United - Torquay United	0:1 ✺
28.03.23	Boreham Wood - Torquay United	0:1 ✺
25.03.23	Torquay United - Dagenham & Redbridge	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.4 WWWWL
- York City
English National League
10.04.23	York City - Halifax Town	0:3 ✺
07.04.23	Chesterfield - York City	1:3 ✺
03.04.23	York City - Barnet	1:0 ✺
28.03.23	York City - Scunthorpe United	0:0 ✺
25.03.23	Wrexham - York City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
08.10.22	York City - Torquay United	1:0
17.12.16	York City - Torquay United	0:0
10.09.16	Torquay United - York City	2:0
English League Two
25.03.14	York City - Torquay United	1:0
05.10.13	Torquay United - York City	0:3
23.03.13	Torquay United - York City	2:1
24.11.12	York City - Torquay United	0:2

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