The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Oldham Athletic 42.4%
Draw 27.9%
Altrincham 29.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.2%
25.3%
20.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.4%
26.3%
19.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oldham Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oldham Athletic's form might have worsened.
Altrincham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Altrincham's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (+14%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oldham Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Altrincham than the current prediction. (-10%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Altrincham, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
61.5%
38.5%
0%
Oldham Athletic - Altrincham Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Oldham will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Oldham: 35% – 88%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Dennis J. (G) 20. Caprice J. 9. Fondop-Talum M. 3. Kitching M. 34. Leake J. 16. Raglan C. 15. Rossiter J. 21. Sutton W. 18. Waters B. 22. Worthington M. 28. Yoganathan V.
21. Ansen C. (G) 11. Amaluzor J. 4. Baines L. (C) 2. Banks L. 29. Bickerstaff J. 22. Crawford T. 23. Golden T. 9. Linney R. 10. Newby A. 31. Olson C. 6. Osborne E.
Substitutes
5. Hobson S. 11. Kay J. 8. Lundstram J. 35. Moloney S. (G) 30. Norwood J. 4. Pett T. 29. Pritchard J.
5. Cooper J. 27. Fallon L. (G) 15. Griffiths R. 16. Jones J. 20. Reddin K. 12. Taylor K. 17. Weaver L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
9', Raglan C. 🟨,
13', Olson C. 🟨,
41', 0 - 1, Newby A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', 0 - 2, Linney R. ⚽,
52', Amaluzor J. ↓, Weaver L. ↑,
54', Waters B. ↓, Norwood J. ↑,
54', Worthington M. ↓, Pett T. ↑,
54', Yoganathan V. ↓, Lundstram J. ↑,
57', 1 - 2, Norwood J. ⚽, Fondop-Talum M. (A),
58', Linney R. 🟨,
68', Kitching M. ↓, Kay J. ↑,
68', Rossiter J. ↓, Pritchard J. ↑,
73', Linney R. ↓, Taylor K. ↑,
74', Newby A. ↓, Cooper J. ↑,
77', Caprice J. 🟨,
81', 2 - 2, Lundstram J. ⚽,
85', Golden T. 🟨,
90+3', Cooper J. 🟨,
Preview
Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 17 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Newport won 0.
Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.
In this match Bradford is a favorite.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Newport won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11:17 (average 1:1.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Newport won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:7 (average 1.2:1.4).