Match Info

Date: 14 December 2021, Tuesday


	Altınordu		Kocaelispor

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.3	2.3	Watch
	2.9	3.4	2.2
	3.05	3.05	2.18	Watch
	2.85	3.15	2.26
	3	3.34	2.44
	2.8	3.2	2.25
	2.82	3.38	2.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↓ (3.69)	3.26 ↓ (3.56)	2.28 ↑ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Altınordu
31.7%

Draw
28.1%

Kocaelispor
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

26.1%

48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.6%

20.3%

62.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Altınordu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Altınordu's performance.

Kocaelispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kocaelispor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Altınordu than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Altınordu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (+22.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kocaelispor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Altınordu - Kocaelispor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Altınordu is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Kocaelispor is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Altınordu could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Altınordu have a series of home games.

Kocaelispor will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Altınordu
Turkish First League
05.12.21	Altınordu - Samsunspor	0:2 ✺
Turkish Cup
01.12.21	Altınordu - Aksaray Belediyespor	1:3 ✺
Turkish First League
28.11.21	Altınordu - Ankaragücü	2:1 ✺
21.11.21	Manisa FK - Altınordu	1:0 ✺
06.11.21	Altınordu - Eyüpspor	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LLWLL
- Kocaelispor
Turkish First League
10.12.21	Kocaelispor - Erzurumspor	2:0 ✺
05.12.21	Manisa FK - Kocaelispor	2:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
01.12.21	Adanaspor - Kocaelispor	1:2 ✺
Turkish First League
27.11.21	Kocaelispor - Menemenspor	1:2 ✺
21.11.21	Bandırmaspor - Kocaelispor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLWLL

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