Match Info

TURKEY: 1. Lig - Round 24

Date: 11 February 2025, Tuesday

Location: Mumin Ozkasap Stadyumu (Manisa)

Referee: Kolak B. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Manisa FK		Kocaelispor

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.2	3.2	2
				Watch
	3.61	3.46	2.06
				Watch
	3.3	3.2	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↑ (3.11)	3.29 ↑ (3.29)	2.04 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manisa FK
27.2%

Draw
27.9%

Kocaelispor
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

28%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

27%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manisa FK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Kocaelispor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manisa FK than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	16.7%	75%

Manisa FK - Kocaelispor Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Manisa will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Kocaelispor will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kocaelispor: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Uysal A. (G) 15. Arslanagic D. 53. Yurdakul K. 60. Toure B. 26. Kanak K. 54. Akgun E. 25. Cissokho M. 10. Dani Ramirez 8. Gurbulak O. 21. Diallo D. 7. Fofana M.	35. Degirmenci G. (G) 22. Oguz A. 5. Appindangoye A. 88. Osmanpasa C. 19. Gedik E. 6. Pedrinho 17. Caglayan O. 8. Celik C. 23. Yalcin S. 20. Mendes R. 10. Marcao
Substitutes
70. Altunkara E. 5. Arik K. 19. Erdem U. 50. Gocmen B. 41. Gurdal O. 18. Kahya K. C. 35. Karatas E. (G) 23. Kiprit M. 9. Minchev G. 29. Yilmaz B.	3. Cinan M. 18. Gedik F. 91. Gocen A. (G) 41. Oztonga O. 99. Rivas R. 9. Sagat A. 15. Serbest T. 45. Tunali M. 4. Vukovic J. 32. Yilmaz M.
Coaches
Sapci H.	Tasdemir I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
62', 0 - 1, Marcao ⚽, Mendes R. (A),
67', Celik C. ↓, Vukovic J. ↑,
67', Toure B. ↓, Kiprit M. ↑,
73', Marcao ↓, Rivas R. ↑,
74', Fofana M. ↓, Minchev G. ↑,
74', Yurdakul K. ↓, Gurdal O. ↑,
85', Caglayan O. ↓, Sagat A. ↑,
85', Yalcin S. ↓, Serbest T. ↑,
85', Sagat A. 🟨,
87', Gurbulak O. ↓, Altunkara E. ↑,
88', Rivas R. 🟨,
90+2', 0 - 2, Rivas R. ⚽,
90+4', Dani Ramirez 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Manisa won 4.

Manisa is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Kocaelispor is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kocaelispor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Kocaelispor will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Manisa won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17:6 (average 2.4:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Manisa won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:3 (average 3.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manisa FK
Turkish First League
08.02.25	Adanaspor - Manisa FK	2:1 ✺
02.02.25	Manisa FK - Fatih Karagümrükspor	2:2 ✺
27.01.25	Sakaryaspor - Manisa FK	1:2 ✺
19.01.25	Manisa FK - İstanbulspor	0:1 ✺
13.01.25	Manisa FK - Umraniyespor	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTWLL
- Kocaelispor
Turkish First League
08.02.25	Kocaelispor - Amed SK	1:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
04.02.25	Kocaelispor - Sivasspor	0:2 ✺
Turkish First League
01.02.25	Erzurumspor - Kocaelispor	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Kocaelispor - Pendikspor	3:0 ✺
20.01.25	Gençlerbirliği - Kocaelispor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
15.09.24	Kocaelispor - Manisa FK	1:2
14.01.24	Manisa FK - Kocaelispor	2:1
12.08.23	Kocaelispor - Manisa FK	0:2
24.04.22	Kocaelispor - Manisa FK	2:1
05.12.21	Manisa FK - Kocaelispor	2:1
Turkish Second League White Group
03.02.21	Kocaelispor - Manisa FK	0:2
26.09.20	Manisa FK - Kocaelispor	6:1

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