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Current Win Probability
Adanaspor 12.2%
Draw 21.5%
Kocaelispor 66.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
16.3%
23.9%
59.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
16.1%
23.6%
60.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Adanaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
Kocaelispor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kocaelispor's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adanaspor than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kocaelispor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
12.5%
0%
87.5%
Adanaspor - Kocaelispor Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1.75 - Kocaelispor (2.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Kocaelispor will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%). Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Kocaelispor will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Kocaelispor (votes: 8 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
87. Celikay K. (G) 77. Koc S. 97. Durmaz E. 22. Kurucuk F. 24. Sadiku L. 99. Matur O. 9. Candeias D. 21. Ivan A. 12. Donkor I. 20. Ciss A. 16. Cikalleshi S.
35. Degirmenci G. (G) 22. Oguz A. 5. Appindangoye A. 88. Osmanpasa C. 3. Cinan M. 4. Vukovic J. 72. Rivas R. 6. Pedrinho 23. Yalcin S. 20. Mendes R. 10. Marcao
Substitutes
17. Altunbas M. 4. Aytekin H. 25. Celik M. (G) 11. Cinar O. 7. Emeksiz D. 64. Guzelbay C. 5. Hatipoglu H. 19. Midilic Y. 98. Tuzun B. 26. Yildirim M.
70. Alici B. 17. Caglayan O. 8. Celik C. 19. Gedik E. 18. Gedik F. 41. Oztonga O. 9. Sagat A. 34. Sen B. (G) 15. Serbest T. 45. Tunali M.
Coaches
Keles H.
Tasdemir I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 3)
5', 0 - 1, Marcao ⚽, Mendes R. (A),
30', Marcao ↓, Caglayan O. ↑,
33', Matur O. 🟨,
35', 0 - 2, Caglayan O. ⚽, Yalcin S. (A),
43', Mendes R. 🟨,
44', 0 - 3, Rivas R. ⚽, Mendes R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Sadiku L. ↓, Guzelbay C. ↑,
49', 1 - 3, Candeias D. (Pen),
63', Cinan M. 🟨,
68', Matur O. ↓, Midilic Y. ↑,
68', Ivan A. ↓, Yildirim M. ↑,
73', Cikalleshi S. ↓, Altunbas M. ↑,
84', Koc S. ↓, Cinar O. ↑,
84', Vukovic J. ↓, Tunali M. ↑,
90+1', Celikay K. 🟨,
90+2', Mendes R. (Pen),
90+2', 1 - 4, Mendes R. ⚽,
90+3', Rivas R. ↓, Celik C. ↑,
90+5', Mendes R. ↓, Alici B. ↑,
90+5', Pedrinho ↓, Serbest T. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Adanaspor won 1.
Adanaspor is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Kocaelispor is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Kocaelispor is certain favorite.
There will not play in Adanaspor: Aslan N.
(Yellow Cards)
Diakite C.
(Inactive)
Fofana A.
(Inactive)
Yepie Yepie S.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Kocaelispor: Degirmenci G.
(Yellow Cards)
Last 7 head-to-head matches Adanaspor won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4:11 (average 0.6:1.6).
Including matches at home between the teams Adanaspor won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:4 (average 0.8:1).
Asia
Turkey
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Celikay K. (G) 
Koc S. 
Durmaz E. 
Sadiku L. 
Candeias D. 
Ivan A. 
Donkor I. 
Ciss A. 
Appindangoye A. 
Vukovic J. 
Rivas R. 
Mendes R. 
Marcao 
Celik C. 
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