Match Info

IRAN: Persian Gulf Pro League - Round 27

Date: 11 May 2024, Saturday


	Aluminium Arak		Sanat Naft

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.95	3.1
	2.3	3	3.2
	2.3	3.04	3.18
	2.25	2.9	3.1
	2.33	2.94	3.23	Watch
	2.25	2.95	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.23)	2.96 ↓ (3.1)	3.18 ↑ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aluminium Arak
40.2%

Draw
30.9%

Sanat Naft
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

29.6%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

28.4%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aluminium Arak has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Sanat Naft has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aluminium Arak than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sanat Naft than the current prediction. (-1%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
44', 0 - 1, Shanani H. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 1 - 1, Bozorg S. ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aluminium Arak won 4.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Aluminium Arak will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Aluminium Arak won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Aluminium Arak won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aluminium Arak
Iran Pro League
06.05.24	Paykan - Aluminium Arak	0:1 ✺
01.05.24	Aluminium Arak - Foolad Khuzestan	1:1 ✺
Iran Hazfi Cup
26.04.24	Aluminium Arak - Persepolis	5:4 penalties ✺
Iran Pro League
21.04.24	Zob Ahan - Aluminium Arak	2:0 ✺
12.04.24	Aluminium Arak - Esteghlal	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WTWLL
- Sanat Naft
Iran Pro League
06.05.24	Sanat Naft - Mes Rafsanjan	1:0 ✺
01.05.24	Havadar - Sanat Naft	2:1 ✺
18.04.24	Sanat Naft - Persepolis	0:3 ✺
12.04.24	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Sanat Naft	2:1 ✺
08.04.24	Sanat Naft - Sepahan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.4 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Iran Pro League
08.12.23	Sanat Naft - Aluminium Arak	1:2
27.01.23	Aluminium Arak - Sanat Naft	3:1
19.08.22	Sanat Naft - Aluminium Arak	0:1
14.05.22	Aluminium Arak - Sanat Naft	2:1
29.12.21	Sanat Naft - Aluminium Arak	3:1
08.05.21	Sanat Naft - Aluminium Arak	0:1
17.12.20	Aluminium Arak - Sanat Naft	1:0

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