Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 33

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio José María Minella (Mar del Plata)


	Alvarado		All Boys

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.57	4
	2.28	2.62	3.75	Watch
	2.35	2.67	4.07
	2.29	2.65	3.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.34)	2.63 ↓ (2.67)	3.89 ↑ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alvarado
40.6%

Draw
35.4%

All Boys
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

34.6%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

33.8%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alvarado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

All Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for All Boys than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	80%	20%

Alvarado - All Boys Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. All Boys will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gomez Riga E. F. (G) 4. Ardiles F. 2. Blasi B. (C) 6. Irazoque A. 3. Aleo A. 7. Ascacibar J. 5. Mansilla M. 8. Gobetto J. 10. Miori M. 9. Susvielles J. 11. Bolzicco T.	1. Ramirez R. (G) 4. Grana H. 2. Coronel M. 6. Zafarana I. 3. Rodriguez A. 11. De Vito Y. 8. Salas J. 5. Desabato L. 10. Passaglia J. 7. Nouet M. 9. Gallo A.
Substitutes
19. Amilivia T. 16. Becker D. 15. Bolivar A. 13. Fernandez T. 14. Gorgerino C. 12. Henricot F. (G) 17. Martinez Candia C. A. 18. Ortale M. 20. Ortiz D.	13. Abet A. 16. Assennato T. 14. Butti F. 17. Calone T. 20. Ceballos J. 18. Gonzalez B. 12. Libares T. (G) 15. Palacio I. 19. Vega A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Zafarana I. 🟨,
40', Aleo A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Nouet M. ↓, Palacio I. ↑,
61', Mansilla M. 🟨,
66', Aleo A. ↓, Martinez Candia C. A. ↑,
66', Bolzicco T. ↓, Ortiz D. ↑,
73', Mansilla M. ↓, Becker D. ↑,
78', Blasi B. 🟨,
79', Ascacibar J. ↓, Amilivia T. ↑,
79', Miori M. ↓, Bolivar A. ↑,
82', Salas J. ↓, Vega A. ↑,
90+1', Passaglia J. ↓, Butti F. ↑,
90+4', Rodriguez A. 🟥,
90+4', Gobetto J. 🟥,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alvarado won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Alvarado might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Alvarado won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.7:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Alvarado won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Alvarado
Argentinian Primera Nacional
21.09.25	Alvarado - Los Andes	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Deportivo Madryn - Alvarado	1:0 ✺
08.09.25	Alvarado - Deportivo Maipú	0:0 ✺
31.08.25	Gimnasia y Tiro - Alvarado	3:0 ✺
28.08.25	Quilmes - Alvarado	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLTLT
- CA All Boys
Argentinian Primera Nacional
22.09.25	All Boys - Deportivo Madryn	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Deportivo Maipú - All Boys	0:0 ✺
05.09.25	All Boys - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Tristán Suárez - All Boys	2:0 ✺
25.08.25	All Boys - San Martín de Tucumán	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
25.05.25	All Boys - Alvarado	1:1
13.07.24	All Boys - Alvarado	1:0
25.02.24	Alvarado - All Boys	1:0
20.08.23	Alvarado - All Boys	0:0
08.04.23	All Boys - Alvarado	2:1
04.06.22	All Boys - Alvarado	3:1

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