Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 29

Date: 31 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Gigante del Norte (Salta)


	Gimnasia y Tiro		Alvarado

	1	X	2
	1.86	3	4.75	Watch
	1.9	2.85	4.6
	1.88	2.88	4.75	Watch
	1.99	2.98	4.93
	1.88	2.94	5.09	Watch
	1.95	2.8	4.8
	1.9	2.83	4.94
	1.75	3.3	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.75)	2.95 ↓ (3.26)	4.83 ↑ (4.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia y Tiro
49.2%

Draw
31.5%

Alvarado
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

28.2%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

27.8%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia y Tiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Alvarado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Tiro than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Gimnasia y Tiro - Alvarado Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gimnasia y Tiro will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Abadia F. (G) 4. Chaves I. F. (C) 2. Morello M. 6. Tallura A. 3. Montoya L. 5. Birge M. 10. Rinaldi N. 7. Keko 8. Mendez J. 11. Reynaga R. 9. Gordillo L.	1. Gomez Riga E. F. (G) 4. Ardiles F. 2. Fernandez T. 6. Blasi B. (C) 3. Irazoque A. 7. Gorgerino C. 5. Mansilla M. 8. Borgnino M. 10. Miori M. 9. Amilivia T. 11. Ortiz D.
Substitutes
15. Busse W. 20. Contin N. 12. Cosentino F. (G) 14. Galetto J. 13. Oviedo J. C. 17. Rodriguez L. 18. Rojas F. 19. Sivetti F. 16. Villarreal R.	14. Aleo A. 15. Ascacibar J. 18. Bolivar A. 20. Bolzicco T. 12. Henricot F. (G) 17. Martinez E. 16. Ortale M. 19. Susvielles J. 13. Werro V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
17', Irazoque A. 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Gordillo L. ⚽,
44', 2 - 0, Mendez J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Keko ↓, Rojas F. ↑,
46', Ortiz D. ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
46', Borgnino M. ↓, Bolivar A. ↑,
55', Irazoque A. ↓, Susvielles J. ↑,
61', Rojas F. ↓, Villarreal R. ↑,
67', Gorgerino C. ↓, Aleo A. ↑,
68', Reynaga R. ↓, Contin N. ↑,
75', Mendez J. ↓, Galetto J. ↑,
85', 3 - 0, Contin N. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 16).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Alvarado may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Gimnasia y Tiro is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gimnasia y Tiro won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia y Tiro
Argentinian Primera Nacional
24.08.25	Deportivo Madryn - Gimnasia y Tiro	2:0 ✺
15.08.25	Gimnasia y Tiro - Deportivo Maipú	1:0 ✺
10.08.25	Gimnasia y Tiro - Los Andes	0:0 ✺
02.08.25	Tristán Suárez - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:0 ✺
25.07.25	Gimnasia y Tiro - San Martín de Tucumán	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWTLW
- CA Alvarado
Argentinian Primera Nacional
28.08.25	Quilmes - Alvarado	0:0 ✺
23.08.25	Alvarado - Tristán Suárez	0:0 ✺
17.08.25	San Martín de Tucumán - Alvarado	0:0 ✺
10.08.25	Alvarado - Güemes	1:1 ✺
03.08.25	Patronato Parana - Alvarado	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
27.04.25	Alvarado - Gimnasia y Tiro	2:1

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