Match Info

Date: 15 May 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio José María Minella (Mar del Plata)

Referee: Pafundi J. (Arg)


	Alvarado		Chaco For Ever

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.1	2.7
	2.65	2.95	2.65
	2.75	2.6	2.88
	2.7	2.9	2.65
	2.97	2.81	2.86
	2.62	2.88	2.7
	2.7	3.08	2.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↓ (3.01)	2.9 ↑ (2.76)	2.72 ↓ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alvarado
33.9%

Draw
32%

Chaco For Ever
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

34.3%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

35.9%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alvarado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Chaco For Ever has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chaco For Ever than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Alvarado - Chaco For Ever Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Alvarado will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 21 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Chaco For Ever could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Alvarado won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Alvarado won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Alvarado
Argentinian Primera Nacional
07.05.22	San Martín de San Juan - Alvarado	0:0 ✺
30.04.22	Alvarado - Atlanta Buenos Aires	3:1 ✺
24.04.22	Estudiantes de Caseros - Alvarado	2:0 ✺
16.04.22	Alvarado - Santamarina de Tandil	3:0 ✺
08.04.22	Atlético de Rafaela - Alvarado	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TWLWL
- Chaco For Ever
Argentinian Primera Nacional
08.05.22	Chaco For Ever - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	3:0 ✺
30.04.22	Deportivo Madryn - Chaco For Ever	3:2 ✺
23.04.22	Chaco For Ever - Deportivo Morón	1:0 ✺
16.04.22	Temperley - Chaco For Ever	0:0 ✺
10.04.22	Chaco For Ever - Deportivo Flandria	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
22.04.18	Alvarado - Chaco For Ever	3:1
15.04.18	Chaco For Ever - Alvarado	2:1

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