The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chaco For Ever 38.8%
Draw 33.8%
Deportivo Morón 27.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.1%
33.1%
33.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.6%
33.6%
34.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chaco For Ever has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chaco For Ever's performance.
Deportivo Morón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Morón might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chaco For Ever than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chaco For Ever that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Morón than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Morón could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
37.5%
37.5%
Chaco For Ever - Deportivo Morón Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Chaco For Ever will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Deportivo Morón will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Deportivo Morón: 4% – 71%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Canuto G. (G) 4. Luque A. 2. Mihovilcevich L. 6. Garay R. 3. Ojeda A. 8. Gaggi E. 5. Nievas B. 7. Carrizo J. 10. Fernandez L. 9. Romero M. S. 11. Pacheco G.
1. Diaz F. (G) 4. Iniguez E. 2. Flores F. 6. Cardozo L. 3. Livera J. 7. Contreras E. 5. Burruchaga M. 8. Kubiszyn S. 10. Fagundez F. 9. Levato M. 11. Benitez M.
Substitutes
12. Caprio N. (G) 15. Chamorro T. 20. Diaz Chaves M. 17. Lioi A. 19. Melgarejo G. 14. Pruzzo L. 13. Silvera M. 18. Tevez M. 16. Valenzuela S.
17. Berterame G. 14. Bittolo M. 15. Franco E. 16. Gonzalez G. 19. Olivares J. 12. Salva J. (G) 18. Toloza F. 13. Vaquero I. M. 20. Zappacosta J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Burruchaga M. 🟨,
37', Romero M. S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', Livera J. 🟨,
47', Canuto G. 🟨,
54', Benitez M. ↓, Berterame G. ↑,
55', Contreras E. ↓, Franco E. ↑,
58', 1 - 0, Romero M. S. ⚽,
58', Romero M. S. (Penalty Awarded),
60', Burruchaga M. ↓, Olivares J. ↑,
61', Franco E. 🟨,
62', Pacheco G. ↓, Valenzuela S. ↑,
65', Carrizo J. 🟨,
72', Levato M. ↓, Zappacosta J. ↑,
72', Kubiszyn S. ↓, Toloza F. ↑,
73', Garay R. ↓, Silvera M. ↑,
73', Gaggi E. ↓, Lioi A. ↑,
76', Olivares J. 🟨,
80', Romero M. S. ↓, Diaz Chaves M. ↑,
82', 2 - 0, Diaz Chaves M. ⚽, Melgarejo G. (A),
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chaco For Ever won 0.
Chaco For Ever is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Deportivo Morón has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Chaco For Ever won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.8:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Chaco For Ever won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).