Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 16

Date: 18 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Ciudad de Caseros (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Comesana L. (Arg)


	Estudiantes de Caseros		Alvarado

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.1	4.2	Watch
	1.93	3	4.1
	1.95	3	4.2
	2	2.99	4.63
	1.99	2.99	4.64
	1.91	3.1	4.2
	1.9	3.13	4.32	Watch
	1.95	3.05	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.04)	3.05 ↑ (2.96)	4.31 ↑ (4.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estudiantes de Caseros
47.8%

Draw
30.6%

Alvarado
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

31.4%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

31.1%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estudiantes de Caseros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Alvarado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Caseros than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Estudiantes de Caseros - Alvarado Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. CA Estudiantes will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for CA Estudiantes: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Budino M. (G) 2. Perales V. 3. Fernandez N. 6. Benitez J. 8. Miranda F. 4. Del Col M. 5. Lugo M. 10. Acosta E. 11. Contreras E. 9. Beron J. 7. Fagundez F.	1. Lungarzo J. (G) 2. Robledo A. (C) 3. Monzon L. 4. Bettini M. 6. Ortiz N. D. 5. Leyes N. 7. Mansilla M. 8. Lamardo G. 10. Sanchez G. 9. Belinetz O. 11. Rambert T.
Substitutes
17. Bacas T. 12. Casco I. 13. Ledesma D. 20. Luna E. 14. Lusnig L. 15. Mayorga S. 19. Sandoval I. 16. Valenzuela I. 18. Vallejos I.	14. Aleo A. 17. Boasso F. 19. Bogado E. 15. Fernandez T. 12. Finochietto L. (G) 16. Malagueno F. 20. Rebecchi L. 13. Tecilla N. 18. Vadala G.
Coaches
Otta W.	Giganti M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Contreras E. ⚽,
33', Fernandez N. 🟨,
41', 2 - 0, Lugo M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Monzon L. ↓, Aleo A. ↑,
46', Mansilla M. ↓, Vadala G. ↑,
50', Lamardo G. 🟨,
56', 3 - 0, Beron J. ⚽,
58', Belinetz O. ↓, Rebecchi L. ↑,
58', Rambert T. ↓, Fernandez T. ↑,
59', Ortiz N. D. 🟨,
66', 4 - 0, Beron J. ⚽,
67', Robledo A. ↓, Bogado E. ↑,
68', Fagundez F. ↓, Lusnig L. ↑,
68', Acosta E. ↓, Vallejos I. ↑,
74', Fernandez N. ↓, Bacas T. ↑,
74', Beron J. ↓, Sandoval I. ↑,
76', Rebecchi L. 🟨,
79', Contreras E. ↓, Luna E. ↑,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 9).

CA Estudiantes is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Alvarado is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match CA Estudiantes is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches CA Estudiantes won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-7.

Including matches at home between the teams CA Estudiantes won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Estudiantes de Caseros
Argentinian Primera Nacional
12.05.24	Racing de Córdoba - Estudiantes de Caseros	0:1 ✺
04.05.24	Estudiantes de Caseros - Patronato Parana	0:0 ✺
27.04.24	Tristán Suárez - Estudiantes de Caseros	0:1 ✺
20.04.24	Estudiantes de Caseros - All Boys	1:1 ✺
13.04.24	Agropecuario Argentino - Estudiantes de Caseros	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WTWTT
- CA Alvarado
Argentinian Primera Nacional
12.05.24	Alvarado - Talleres de Remedios de Escalada	2:0 ✺
05.05.24	Quilmes - Alvarado	1:1 ✺
28.04.24	Alvarado - San Miguel	1:0 ✺
23.04.24	Ferro Carril Oeste - Alvarado	3:0 ✺
13.04.24	Alvarado - Deportivo Maipú	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
24.04.22	Estudiantes de Caseros - Alvarado	2:0
09.10.21	Alvarado - Estudiantes de Caseros	0:1
17.06.21	Estudiantes de Caseros - Alvarado	1:3
23.11.19	Alvarado - Estudiantes de Caseros	4:2

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