Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 5

Date: 25 August 2025, Monday


	Alvechurch		Stratford Town

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.4	3.5
	1.88	3.45	3.45
	1.91	3.57	3.53
	1.86	3.4	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.83)	3.46 ↑ (3.42)	3.56 ↓ (3.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alvechurch
48.4%

Draw
26.2%

Stratford Town
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

26.4%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

25.5%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alvechurch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Stratford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvechurch than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stratford Town than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Alvechurch - Stratford Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Landers H. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', 0 - 2, Lafferty D. ⚽,
67', Roney J. 🟥,
87', 1 - 2, Bavanganga J. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alvechurch won 1.

Alvechurch has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Stratford's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Alvechurch is considered a favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Alvechurch won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:21. (average 1.2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Alvechurch won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.7:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alvechurch FC
English Southern League Central Division
23.08.25	Barwell - Alvechurch	1:2 ✺
16.08.25	Alvechurch - Sudbury Town	2:0 ✺
12.08.25	Alvechurch - Bromsgrove Sporting	1:2 ✺
09.08.25	Stamford - Alvechurch	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.25	Alvechurch - Hereford	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWLTT
- Stratford Town
English Southern League Central Division
16.08.25	Quorn - Stratford Town	5:2 ✺
11.08.25	Redditch United - Stratford Town	1:0 ✺
09.08.25	Stratford Town - Banbury United	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
12.07.25	Stratford Town - Solihull Moors	2:1 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
26.04.25	St Ives Town - Stratford Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
21.04.25	Stratford Town - Alvechurch	3:0
26.12.24	Alvechurch - Stratford Town	1:2
16.12.23	Stratford Town - Alvechurch	3:2
19.08.23	Alvechurch - Stratford Town	1:0
18.03.23	Stratford Town - Alvechurch	2:0
06.12.22	Alvechurch - Stratford Town	4:2
18.12.21	Stratford Town - Alvechurch	0:0

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