Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 14

Date: 20 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Alvechurch		Bromsgrove Sporting

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.25	2.22
	2.72	3.06	2.44
	2.85	3.23	2.45	Watch
	2.70	3.05	2.30
	2.84	3.28	2.21
	2.80	3.10	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↓ (2.8)	3.16 ↓ (3.27)	2.33 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alvechurch
32.6%

Draw
28.6%

Bromsgrove Sporting
38.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.1%

27.5%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

26.8%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alvechurch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Bromsgrove Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvechurch than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bromsgrove Sporting than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Alvechurch - Bromsgrove Sporting Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Postponed due to FA Cup.

A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 6th in the Promotion - Southern League Premier Central Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 3rd in the Promotion - Southern League Premier Central Playoffs - Semi - finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alvechurch won 4.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Alvechurch has recorded 6 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:12 (averaging 1.6:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Alvechurch against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 8:7 goals (averaging 1.3:1.2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Bromsgrove	13	8	4	1	23:13	10	28
7	Alvechurch	13	6	5	2	24:12	12	23

Last Results with these Odds

Alvechurch - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 32.07%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Bromsgrove Sporting - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 40.47%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alvechurch FC
English FA Cup
17.10.26	Spalding United - Alvechurch	2:2 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
13.10.26	Halesowen Town - Alvechurch	1:1 ✺
10.10.26	Alvechurch - Bury Town	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
03.10.26	Cambridge City - Alvechurch	1:2 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
29.09.26	Alvechurch - Stourbridge	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TTLWT
- Bromsgrove Sporting
English Southern League Central Division
17.10.26	Bromsgrove Sporting - Banbury United	1:1 ✺
13.10.26	Bromsgrove Sporting - Kettering Town	2:1 ✺
10.10.26	Real Bedford - Bromsgrove Sporting	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
03.10.26	Bury - Bromsgrove Sporting	2:1 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
29.09.26	Bromsgrove Sporting - Leamington	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TWTLT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
17.02.26	Bromsgrove Sporting - Alvechurch	1:4
12.08.25	Alvechurch - Bromsgrove Sporting	1:2
11.03.25	Alvechurch - Bromsgrove Sporting	2:1
30.11.24	Bromsgrove Sporting - Alvechurch	0:2
06.04.24	Alvechurch - Bromsgrove Sporting	1:0
21.11.23	Bromsgrove Sporting - Alvechurch	1:1
14.02.23	Alvechurch - Bromsgrove Sporting	0:0

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