Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - ROUND 21

Date: 3 March 2023, Friday

Location: Estadio Complexo Desportivo de Alverca (Alverca do Ribatejo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Alverca		Real SC

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.75	5
	1.55	3.6	5.4
	1.56	3.65	5
	1.59	3.91	6.06
	1.59	3.72	5.3	Watch
	1.58	3.65	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.67)	3.71 ↑ (3.24)	5.33 ↑ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alverca
58.2%

Draw
24.6%

Real SC
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

28%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2%

26.6%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alverca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Real SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alverca than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real SC than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	12.5%	25%

Alverca - Real SC Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Alverca will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Real SC will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alverca: 29% – 96%.

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group) and 8 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group)).

Real SC is Liga 3 (Relegation Group)

Alverca is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Real SC is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Alverca have a series of guest games.

In this match Alverca is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Alverca won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Alverca won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Alverca
Portuguese Liga 3
25.02.23	Académica Coimbra - Alverca	1:2 ✺
18.02.23	Oliveira Hospital - Alverca	1:1 ✺
12.02.23	Alverca - Setúbal	2:0 ✺
04.02.23	Moncarapachense - Alverca	1:2 ✺
29.01.23	Caldas - Alverca	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTWWL
- Real SC de Queluz
Portuguese Liga 3
26.02.23	Real SC - Setúbal	1:2 ✺
19.02.23	Moncarapachense - Real SC	1:6 ✺
12.02.23	Real SC - Caldas	1:2 ✺
04.02.23	Fontinhas - Real SC	0:1 ✺
28.01.23	Real SC - Sporting Lisbon B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
27.11.22	Real SC - Alverca	1:2
12.02.22	Alverca - Real SC	2:1
06.11.21	Real SC - Alverca	1:1
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
08.11.19	Alverca - Real SC	0:2

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