Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 21

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio da Luz (Lisbon)

Referee: Costa B. J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 4
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Ring, Voyo
Croatia	SportKlub 2
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
Denmark	Bold+, Sport Live
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Georgia	Silk Sport 3
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 9
Hungary	Sport 1
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	DAZN Italia
Kazakhstan	Sport+
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4
Kuwait	KTV Sport
Lithuania	Sport 1
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	Benfica TV
Russia	TV Start
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Slovakia	Arena sport 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
Uruguay	Antel TV
World	Onefootball


	Benfica		Alverca

	1	X	2
	1.13	7	17	Watch
	1.19	6.75	14.5	Watch
	1.15	6.9	18.5	Watch
	1.17	7.42	22.8
	1.17	7.08	18.88	Watch
	1.17	6.5	17	Watch
	1.19	7.8	15.5	Watch
	1.17	6.5	16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↓ (1.18)	6.99 ↑ (6.56)	17.52 ↑ (16.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benfica
81.1%

Draw
13.5%

Alverca
5.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

80%

14.4%

5.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Alverca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	6.2%	6.2%

Benfica - Alverca Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Benfica will win (votes: 14 - 87.5%). Alverca will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica: 71.3% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 7.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1, 1st Half - Benfica (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2 - Benfica (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Benfica will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Benfica (votes: 14 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Trubin A. (G) 15. Lopes Cabral S. 44. Araujo T. 30. Otamendi N. (C) 26. Dahl S. 18. Barreiro L. 8. Aursnes F. 25. Prestianni G. 27. Rafa Silva 21. Schjelderup A. 14. Pavlidis V.	31. Mateus Oliveira (G) 4. Naves 5. Gomez S. (C) 33. Meupiyou B. 2. Touaizi N. 17. Moreira V. 18. Lincoln 55. Chissumba 20. Figueiredo 9. Marezi 10. Chiquinho
Substitutes
5. Barrenechea E. 7. Bruma 72. Cabral A. 50. Ferreira D. (G) 9. Ivanovic F. 16. Manu 79. Pinto K. 4. Silva A. 10. Sudakov G.	19. Clairicia M. 98. Garcia F. 6. Gui D. 12. James I. 3. Martinez J. 1. Matheus Mendes (G) 11. Nuozzi C. 26. Rhaldney 82. Spencer D.
Coaches
Mourinho J.	Custodio

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', Lincoln 🟨,
16', 1 - 0, Schjelderup A. ⚽,
23', Lopes Cabral S. 🟨,
30', 1 - 1, Figueiredo ⚽, Marezi (A),
39', Mateus Oliveira 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Chiquinho ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
65', Mourinho J. 🟨,
66', Prestianni G. 🟨,
71', Lincoln ↓, Rhaldney ↑,
73', Lopes Cabral S. ↓, Sudakov G. ↑,
81', Marezi ↓, Clairicia M. ↑,
81', Figueiredo ↓, Nuozzi C. ↑,
85', Prestianni G. ↓, Bruma ↑,
85', Schjelderup A. ↓, Cabral A. ↑,
86', 2 - 1, Cabral A. ⚽, Dahl S. (A),
88', Pavlidis V. ↓, Silva A. ↑,
88', Rafa Silva ↓, Barrenechea E. ↑,
88', Meupiyou B. ↓, James I. ↑,
90+7', Araujo T. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 10).

Benfica is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Alverca has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Benfica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Benfica is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Benfica: Bah A. (Knee Injury) Felix N. (Knee Injury) Lukebakio D. (Broken ankle) Rios R. (Injury) Soares S. (Injury) Veloso J. (Shoulder Injury)

There will not play in Alverca: Diarra S. (Muscle Injury) Leo Chu (Injury) Mendes T. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Benfica: Araujo H. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Alverca: Abdulai S. (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Benfica won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Benfica	7	5	1	1	22:7	15	16
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	9:11	-2	8

Last Results with these Odds

Benfica - the odds 1.18 are the expected chance of winning is 80.04%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SL Benfica
Liga Portugal
01.02.26	Tondela - Benfica	0:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
28.01.26	Benfica - Real Madrid	4:2 ✺
Liga Portugal
25.01.26	Benfica - Estrela da Amadora	4:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.01.26	Juventus - Benfica	2:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
17.01.26	Rio Ave - Benfica	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TWWLW
- FC Alverca
Liga Portugal
31.01.26	Alverca - Estrela da Amadora	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Braga - Alverca	5:0 ✺
17.01.26	Alverca - Moreirense	2:1 ✺
04.01.26	Alverca - Famalicão	1:0 ✺
27.12.25	Estoril Praia - Alverca	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
31.08.25	Alverca - Benfica	1:2

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