Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - ROUND 17

Date: 4 February 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Moncarapachense		Alverca

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.3	1.72
	4.4	3.55	1.7
	2.8	3.05	2.23
	4.68	3.56	1.81
	4.25	3.32	1.78	Watch
	4.1	3.55	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.07 ↓ (5.1)	3.39 ↓ (3.4)	1.83 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Moncarapachense
22.6%

Draw
27.1%

Alverca
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.8%

26.7%

55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.1%

25.7%

57.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moncarapachense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Alverca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alverca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moncarapachense than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Moncarapachense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alverca than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alverca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Moncarapachense - Alverca Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Moncarapachense will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Alverca will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

#ad

Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group) and 5 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group)).

Recent matches Moncarapachense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alverca will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Moncarapachense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lusitano Ginásio Clube Moncarapachense
Portuguese Liga 3
28.01.23	Setúbal - Moncarapachense	2:3 ✺
21.01.23	Oliveira Hospital - Moncarapachense	1:0 ✺
14.01.23	Moncarapachense - Caldas	1:1 ✺
07.01.23	Fontinhas - Moncarapachense	2:4 ✺
17.12.22	Moncarapachense - Sporting Lisbon B	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 WLTWL
- FC Alverca
Portuguese Liga 3
29.01.23	Caldas - Alverca	2:1 ✺
21.01.23	Fontinhas - Alverca	1:1 ✺
15.01.23	Alverca - Sporting Lisbon B	0:1 ✺
08.01.23	Leiria - Alverca	1:2 ✺
17.12.22	Alverca - Amora	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
22.10.22	Alverca - Moncarapachense	2:0

Upcoming Matches