Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP D - ROUND 18

Date: 4 February 2024, Sunday


	Moncarapachense		Real SC

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.75	5.5
	1.5	3.75	6
	1.5	3.7	5.4
	1.47	3.94	6.63
	1.45	3.96	6.47
	1.49	3.85	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.31)	3.83 ↓ (4.5)	5.97 ↓ (8.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moncarapachense
61.1%

Draw
23.7%

Real SC
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.1%

20.1%

10.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

16.2%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moncarapachense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Moncarapachense's form might have worsened.

Real SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moncarapachense than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Moncarapachense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real SC than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group (Promotion Group: ) and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Moncarapachense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Real SC is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Moncarapachense is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Moncarapachense won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Moncarapachense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lusitano Ginásio Clube Moncarapachense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
28.01.24	Louletano - Moncarapachense	0:1 ✺
21.01.24	Moncarapachense - Setúbal	0:1 ✺
14.01.24	Fabril do Barreiro - Moncarapachense	2:0 ✺
07.01.24	Moncarapachense - Oriental	5:1 ✺
17.12.23	Moncarapachense - Juventude de Évora	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLLWL
- Real SC de Queluz
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
28.01.24	Elvas - Real SC	2:0 ✺
21.01.24	Real SC - Louletano	0:1 ✺
14.01.24	Setúbal - Real SC	2:0 ✺
07.01.24	Real SC - Fabril do Barreiro	3:3 ✺
17.12.23	Real SC - Oriental	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
01.10.23	Real SC - Moncarapachense	0:2
Portuguese Liga 3
19.02.23	Moncarapachense - Real SC	1:6
06.11.22	Real SC - Moncarapachense	0:1

Moncarapachense - Real SC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide