Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 22

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday


	Alverca B		Lagoa

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.2	3.05
	2.15	3.08	3.15
	2.15	3.20	3.16	Watch
	2.1	3	3
	2.14	3.13	3.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (2.08)	3.12 ↓ (3.28)	3.11 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alverca B
42.3%

Draw
28.8%

Lagoa
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

27.6%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

28.3%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alverca B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Lagoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alverca B than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lagoa than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Alverca B - Lagoa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 1 - 1, ⚽,
54', 🟥,
88', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 and 5)

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Alverca B is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alverca B won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Lagoa	4	1	2	1	3:3	0	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alverca B
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
08.03.26	Alverca B - Elvas	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Juventude de Évora - Alverca B	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Alverca B - Louletano	0:2 ✺
15.02.26	Sintrense - Alverca B	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Atlético da Malveira - Alverca B	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WTLLW
- Lagoa
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
08.03.26	Lagoa - Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	3:0 ✺
01.03.26	Elvas - Lagoa	4:0 ✺
22.02.26	Lagoa - Moncarapachense	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Juventude de Évora - Lagoa	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Lagoa - Comércio e Indústria	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
09.11.25	Lagoa - Alverca B	1:0

Alverca B - Lagoa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide