Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 4

Date: 5 May 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Municipal de El Alto (Villa Ingenio) (El Alto)

Referee: Perez R. B. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Bolivia	ESPN 7
Brazil	Paramount+
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Ecuador	ESPN 7
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 7


	Always Ready		Lanús

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.5	4.1	Watch
	1.8	3.6	4.1
	1.88	3.35	4.15	Watch
	1.9	3.39	4.47
	1.76	3.66	4.75	Watch
	1.85	3.3	4
	1.93	3.56	3.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.66)	3.48 ↓ (3.84)	4.22 ↓ (4.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Always Ready
50.7%

Draw
27%

Lanús
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

24.4%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

26.3%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Always Ready has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Always Ready's form might have worsened.

Lanús has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Always Ready than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Always Ready, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81%	9.5%	9.5%

Always Ready - Lanús Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Lanús (4.76) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Always Ready will win (17 of 21 users predict this - 80.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.15% – 97.75%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Always Ready will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Always Ready (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Lanús (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Baroja A. (G) 18. Rodriguez C. 22. Gomez Miranda R. 9. Triverio E. 15. Rodriguez D. 13. Cuellar H. (C) 19. Torrico D. 10. Maraude J. 21. Rambal A. 20. Saucedo F. 7. Amoroso J.	26. Losada N. (G) 33. Guidara T. 24. Izquierdoz C. (C) 13. Canale Dominguez J. 6. Marcich S. 5. Pena Biafore F. 30. Cardozo A. 16. Sepulveda M. 10. Marcelino Moreno 11. Salvio E. 23. Carrera R.
Substitutes
33. Collazo Martinez C. M. 23. Godoy J. 8. Gomez J. P. 6. Lima R. 26. Mamani M. 14. Medina Rodriguez C. D. 17. Nava F. 16. Pasadore F. 12. Paz S. (G) 34. Perez R. 99. Rodriguez E. (G) 5. Suarez M.	25. Aquino D. 77. Besozzi L. 9. Bou W. 20. Cabrera B. 35. De Jesus R. 17. Medina A. 3. Morgantini N. 4. Perez G. 1. Petroli F. (G) 27. Sanchez F. 19. Valois Y. 8. Watson F. N.
Coaches
Baldivieso J.	Pellegrino M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
13', Saucedo F. (Penalty Awarded),
26', 1 - 0, Gomez Miranda R. ⚽, Cuellar H. (A),
45', 2 - 0, Triverio E. ⚽, Rodriguez C. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Sepulveda M. ↓, Aquino D. ↑,
46', 3 - 0, Amoroso J. ⚽, Maraude J. (A),
62', Amoroso J. ↓, Nava F. ↑,
63', Marcelino Moreno ↓, Watson F. N. ↑,
63', Carrera R. ↓, Valois Y. ↑,
64', Rodriguez D. 🟨,
75', Torrico D. 🟨,
75', Rodriguez D. ↓, Suarez M. ↑,
76', Triverio E. ↓, Godoy J. ↑,
76', Saucedo F. ↓, Mamani M. ↑,
77', Pena Biafore F. ↓, Medina A. ↑,
83', Izquierdoz C. ↓, De Jesus R. ↑,
83', Medina A. 🟨,
88', Maraude J. ↓, Lima R. ↑,
89', 4 - 0, Suarez M. ⚽, Nava F. (A),

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Always Ready may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Lanús has had a series of home games.

In this match, Always Ready is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Lanús: Loaiza R. (Knee Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Always Ready won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Always Ready
Bolivian Division Profesional
02.05.26	Always Ready - Nacional Potosí	3:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
29.04.26	Mirassol - Always Ready	2:0 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
25.04.26	Guabirá - Always Ready	1:2 ✺
22.04.26	Always Ready - Oriente Petrolero	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
16.04.26	Lanús - Always Ready	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWWL
- CA Lanús
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.05.26	Lanús - Deportivo Riestra	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
28.04.26	Lanús - LDU Quito	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
24.04.26	Lanús - Central Córdoba	0:0 ✺
20.04.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Lanús	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
16.04.26	Lanús - Always Ready	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
16.04.26	Lanús - Always Ready	1:0

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