Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 13

Date: 23 November 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Alzira		Elche Ilicitano

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.9	2.4
	2.75	2.95	2.55
	2.85	2.93	2.67
	2.78	2.93	2.58	Watch
	2.98	3.29	2.22
	2.75	2.95	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.27)	2.99 ↓ (3.13)	2.5 ↓ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alzira
32.7%

Draw
30.6%

Elche Ilicitano
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

29.5%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

28.6%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alzira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alzira's form might have worsened.

Elche Ilicitano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Elche Ilicitano's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alzira than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alzira, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elche Ilicitano than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Elche Ilicitano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alzira - Elche Ilicitano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Giovanni ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 1 - 1, Piriti A. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alzira won 2.

Alzira is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Ilicitano is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ilicitano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Alzira won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:7 (average 1:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Alzira won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Alzira
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
17.11.24	Alzira - Atlético Baleares	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	Olot - Alzira	3:3 ✺
26.10.24	Sant Andreu - Alzira	0:0 ✺
20.10.24	Alzira - Cornellà	1:0 ✺
13.10.24	Lleida - Alzira	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.4 WTTWW
- Elche CF Ilicitano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
20.11.24	Elche Ilicitano - Sant Andreu	1:1 ✺
16.11.24	Elche Ilicitano - Olot	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	Sabadell - Elche Ilicitano	3:0 ✺
27.10.24	Cornellà - Elche Ilicitano	1:1 ✺
19.10.24	Elche Ilicitano - Lleida	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
02.05.21	Alzira - Elche Ilicitano	0:0
11.04.21	Elche Ilicitano - Alzira	1:2
24.11.19	Alzira - Elche Ilicitano	2:0
27.04.19	Alzira - Elche Ilicitano	1:2
07.12.18	Elche Ilicitano - Alzira	2:0
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
16.03.18	Elche Ilicitano - Alzira	2:1

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