Match Info

Brasileiro Women - Round 9

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Victor Andrade de Brito (Frimisa) (Santa Luzia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	UOL Play


	América Mineiro		Vitória Salvador

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.7	4.5
	1.58	3.7	4.75
	1.61	3.87	4.71
	1.65	3.84	4.97	Watch
	1.6	3.5	4.6
	1.58	3.84	4.82
	1.74	3.45	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.76)	3.7 ↑ (3.35)	4.66 ↑ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

América Mineiro
56%

Draw
24.6%

Vitória Salvador
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

27.2%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

23.3%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with América Mineiro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vitória Salvador could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

América Mineiro - Vitória Salvador Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Sandy (G) 23. Ana Clara 9. Dani Ortolan 3. Duda Nascimento 20. Emily Dubai 16. Lais 18. Lorranny 4. Mayara 30. Mimi (C) 7. Rafinha 77. Stefanie	1. Lorrana (G) 10. Barbara 9. Karol Lins 5. Lany 6. Liriel 19. Milena Monteiro 4. Monik 2. Moniquinha 8. Moura V. 3. Raiani 7. Sheila
Substitutes
14. Alice Oliveira 19. Alves K. 6. Ana Lana 31. Araujo K. 24. Cristina P. 2. Julinha 98. Laredo O. 5. Sousa T. 65. Taina (G) 22. Taluane (G) 15. Teixeira D.	22. Buga 14. Duda Anjos 17. Geicy 12. Ingrid (G) 11. Joicy 15. Kamila 21. Kim Campos 13. Larisse 20. Mari Pires 18. Milena Bispo 16. Yasmin

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Raiani 🟨,
35', Dani Ortolan (Penalty Awarded),
45+1', Barbara 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Liriel 🟨,
52', Emily Dubai 🟨,
67', Barbara ↓, Mari Pires ↑,
69', Emily Dubai ↓, Sousa T. ↑,
71', Duda Nascimento ↓, Alves K. ↑,
76', Mari Pires 🟨,
86', Sheila ↓, Joicy ↑,
86', Milena Monteiro ↓, Kim Campos ↑,
90+4', Ana Clara 🟨,
90+5', Kim Campos 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Brasileiro A2 Women and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Brasileiro A2 Women).

América MG has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Vitória is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Vitória may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Vitória has had a series of away games.

In this match, América MG is a strong favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- América Mineiro Women
Brasileiro Women
27.04.26	América Mineiro - São Paulo	0:0 ✺
20.04.26	Ferroviária - América Mineiro	4:1 ✺
01.04.26	Bahia - América Mineiro	3:1 ✺
28.03.26	América Mineiro - Mixto	1:1 ✺
23.03.26	Corinthians - América Mineiro	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TLLTL
- Vitória Salvador Women
Brasileiro Women
25.04.26	Flamengo - Vitória Salvador	3:1 ✺
03.04.26	Grêmio Porto Alegrense - Vitória Salvador	3:0 ✺
27.03.26	Vitória Salvador - Atlético Mineiro	0:3 ✺
22.03.26	Palmeiras - Vitória Salvador	6:0 ✺
16.03.26	Bahia - Vitória Salvador	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

América Mineiro - Vitória Salvador: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide