Match Info

Stars League - Round 31

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Iraq	Al Iraqiya Sports


	Amanat Baghdad		Al-Zawraa

	1	X	2
	5.9	3.75	1.49
	5.33	3.77	1.49
	5.69	4	1.5	Watch
	6	3.6	1.44
	5.43	3.9	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.67 ↓ (5.69)	3.8 ↓ (4)	1.5 (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amanat Baghdad
15.9%

Draw
23.8%

Al-Zawraa
60.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.1%

22.9%

61%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.7%

22.3%

62.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amanat Baghdad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Al-Zawraa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amanat Baghdad than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Zawraa than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Amanat Baghdad - Al Zawraa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
63', 0 - 1, Majid M. ⚽,
66', 1 - 1, Kareem J. ⚽,
78', 1 - 2, Aziz Y. ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 2, Talib H. ⚽, Mahmoud A. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 15 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Amanat Baghdad won 0.

Amanat Baghdad has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Al-Zawraa is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Al-Zawraa is a strong favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Amanat Baghdad won 0 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 0.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Amanat Baghdad won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Al Zawraa	8	5	3	0	15:3	12	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amanat Baghdad
Iraqi Premier League
21.04.26	Al-Minaa - Amanat Baghdad	4:0 ✺
17.04.26	Al Mosul - Amanat Baghdad	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Amanat Baghdad - Duhok	2:1 ✺
08.04.26	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Amanat Baghdad	4:1 ✺
03.04.26	Amanat Baghdad - Zakho	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LTWLL
- Al-Zawraa
Iraqi Premier League
22.04.26	Al-Zawraa - Diyala	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	Al-Zawraa - Al-Karkh	3:0 ✺
13.04.26	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Zawraa	1:2 ✺
08.04.26	Zakho - Al-Zawraa	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Al-Zawraa - Al-Karma	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
21.03.26	Al-Zawraa - Amanat Baghdad	3:2
20.12.23	Al-Zawraa - Amanat Baghdad	0:0
02.06.22	Al-Zawraa - Amanat Baghdad	2:1
26.12.21	Amanat Baghdad - Al-Zawraa	1:1
29.04.21	Al-Zawraa - Amanat Baghdad	1:0
23.12.20	Amanat Baghdad - Al-Zawraa	1:1
03.03.20	Amanat Baghdad - Al-Zawraa	0:0

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