Match Info

Stars League - Round 26

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday


	Al-Zawraa		Al-Karma

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	3.05
	2.25	3.06	2.94
	2.3	3.04	3.04	Watch
	2.25	2.88	3
	2.25	3.04	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.08)	3 ↓ (3.11)	3.02 ↓ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Zawraa
40.1%

Draw
30%

Al-Karma
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

29.4%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

28.6%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Zawraa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Al-Karma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Zawraa than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Zawraa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Karma than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Al Zawraa - Al Karma Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90', Al Taay M. 🟥,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 and 8)

Al-Zawraa is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Al-Karma has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Al-Karma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Al-Zawraa might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Al-Zawraa won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 0.7:0).

Including home match between the teams, Al-Zawraa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Al Zawraa	8	5	3	0	15:3	12	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Zawraa
Iraqi Premier League
31.03.26	Arbil - Al-Zawraa	1:1 ✺
25.03.26	Al-Zawraa - Al-Kahraba	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Al-Zawraa - Amanat Baghdad	3:2 ✺
17.03.26	Al-Gharraf - Al-Zawraa	0:1 ✺
13.03.26	Al-Zawraa - Naft Maysan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWWWT
- Al-Karma SC
Iraqi Premier League
30.03.26	Amanat Baghdad - Al-Karma	2:1 ✺
26.03.26	Al-Karma - Al Mosul	1:1 ✺
18.03.26	Zakho - Al-Karma	2:2 ✺
12.03.26	Al-Karma - Al-Gharraf	3:0 ✺
07.03.26	Al-Karma - Arbil	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
27.09.25	Al-Karma - Al-Zawraa	0:0
16.04.25	Al-Zawraa - Al-Karma	2:0
25.11.24	Al-Karma - Al-Zawraa	0:0

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