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Current Win Probability
Amanat Baghdad 26.7%
Draw 26.8%
Duhok 46.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.4%
27.1%
40.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34%
25.8%
38.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amanat Baghdad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Amanat Baghdad's form might have worsened.
Duhok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Duhok's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amanat Baghdad than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Amanat Baghdad, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Duhok than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Duhok, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Amanat Baghdad - Duhok Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Abdel Amir M. (Penalty Awarded),
45+2', 1 - 1, Hadi S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', 2 - 1, Abdel Amir M. ⚽,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 11).
Both teams are currently in poor form.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Amanat Baghdad won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.5:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Amanat Baghdad won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
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