Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 2

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Amarante Stadium (Amarante)

Referee: Araujo D. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Amarante		Lusitânia

	1	X	2
	2.63	2.9	2.5
	2.60	2.95	2.45
	2.75	3	2.52
	2.95	3.21	2.63
	2.66	3.14	2.71	Watch
	2.9	3.15	2.5
	2.77	3.06	2.63	Watch
	2.7	3	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.6)	3.05 ↓ (3.33)	2.56 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amarante
33.6%

Draw
30.2%

Lusitânia
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

28%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amarante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Lusitânia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Amarante - Lusitânia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
65. Didi (G) 3. Mendes F. 2. Cunha G. 11. Alemao 28. Pereira D. 26. Zangre A. 85. Nito 5. Joao Ricardo 7. Ferreira L. 10. Costa M. 8. Tokinho Doria (C)	32. Vitor Hugo (G) 24. Ricardinho 22. Faria B. 4. Collard D. 52. Machado F. 20. Paulo D. 27. Fabinho 12. Arsenio (C) 19. Mandiang S. 17. Santos J. 21. Paulite
Substitutes
88. Alves R. 14. Arome 15. Beirao R. 1. Flores R. (G) 6. Guedes R. 36. Ian Custodio 9. Oliveira F. X. C. (G) 17. Silva R.	60. Danny 42. Guilherme 80. Manel 6. Montez A. 46. Reis F. 10. Ricardo A. 16. Rocha L. 9. Silva J. 5. Silverio 1. Souza G. (G) 11. Tablante M. 88. Teixeira M.
Coaches
Pinto J.	Silva R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Santos J. ⚽,
40', Arsenio 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Ricardinho 🟨,
52', Joao Ricardo 🟨,
60', Nito ↓, Arome ↑,
63', Mandiang S. ↓, Danny ↑,
66', Joao Ricardo ↓, Alves R. ↑,
66', Alemao ↓, Ian Custodio ↑,
74', Santos J. ↓, Ricardo A. ↑,
74', Fabinho ↓, Silva J. ↑,
82', Ricardinho ↓, Montez A. ↑,
82', Collard D. ↓, Guilherme ↑,
87', Faria B. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Amarante won 1.

Amarante may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Amarante won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Amarante won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lusitania FC	6	5	1	0	11:4	7	16
15	Amarante	6	1	2	3	5:8	-3	5

Last Results with these Odds

Lusitânia - the odds 2.59 are the expected chance of winning is 36.05%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amarante FC
Portuguese Liga 2
08.08.26	Tondela - Amarante	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Moreirense - Amarante	2:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
16.05.26	Vitoria Guimarães B - Amarante	1:3 ✺
10.05.26	Amarante - União de Santarém	1:0 ✺
01.05.26	Trofense - Amarante	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLWWT
- Lusitânia FC
Portuguese Liga 2
10.08.26	Lusitânia - Porto B	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Paredes - Lusitânia	4:2 ✺
29.07.26	Leça - Lusitânia	0:0 ✺
15.07.26	Famalicão - Lusitânia	1:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
17.05.26	Leixões - Lusitânia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
26.04.25	Amarante - Lusitânia	1:1
01.03.25	Lusitânia - Amarante	2:1
04.01.25	Lusitânia - Amarante	1:0
14.09.24	Amarante - Lusitânia	1:0
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
20.05.23	Amarante - Lusitânia	0:0
30.04.23	Lusitânia - Amarante	1:0
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
02.05.21	Amarante - Lusitânia	1:1

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