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Current Win Probability
Amarante 41.2%
Draw 35.4%
São João de Ver 23.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.7%
28.9%
28.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.4%
27.8%
27.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amarante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
São João de Ver has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and São João de Ver might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amarante than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for São João de Ver than the current prediction. (+4%)
Amarante - São João de Ver Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Duarte M. (G) 2. Ribeiro O. 3. Mendes F. 4. Filipe J. (C) 6. Almeida F. 28. Pedro R. 5. Innusah H. 88. Aguiar E. 12. Lawrence 10. Rodrigues D. 99. Roger
22. Novo E. (G) 3. Serrao J. 33. Washington 5. Jota 23. Monteiro J. 10. Castro J. 16. Jesse 6. Barbosa D. (C) 55. Vilela M. 27. Ca L. 37. Firmino H.
Substitutes
30. Antunes Tiago C. J. 90. Arome 13. Flores R. (G) 8. Helder Pedro 20. Moreno Tavares Cunha M. 23. Saint-Louis J. 80. Ventura 64. Vila D. 22. Vivas S.
99. Benjamim R. (G) 34. Chadai 7. Erick Gabriel 8. Juninho 9. Marques P. 21. Rui Bruno 19. Tavares D. 29. Valente R. 61. Vilela R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Serrao J. ⚽, Vilela M. (A),
8', 0 - 2, Jota ⚽, Ca L. (A),
21', 1 - 2, Rodrigues D. ⚽,
31', Serrao J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Roger ↓, Arome ↑,
46', Innusah H. ↓, Helder Pedro ↑,
64', Castro J. 🟨,
65', 🟨,
67', Barbosa D. 🟨,
68', Rodrigues D. ↓, Saint-Louis J. ↑,
68', Aguiar E. ↓, Antunes Tiago C. J. ↑,
68', Castro J. ↓, Marques P. ↑,
68', Firmino H. ↓, Valente R. ↑,
68', Ca L. ↓, Tavares D. ↑,
69', Saint-Louis J. 🟨,
75', 2 - 2, Lawrence ⚽,
81', Filipe J. 🟨,
87', Serrao J. ↓, Chadai ↑,
87', Jesse ↓, Erick Gabriel ↑,
90+2', Ribeiro O. ↓, Ventura ↑,
90+6', Lawrence 🟨,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Amarante won 5.
Amarante is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, São João de Ver has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
São João de Ver may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Amarante could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Amarante won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:2. (average 2.2:0.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Amarante won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 2.3:0.3).
Portugal
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Duarte M. (G) 
Mendes F. 
Innusah H. 
Lawrence 
Roger 
Jesse 
Moreno Tavares Cunha M. 
Saint-Louis J. 
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