The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
São João de Ver 35.4%
Draw 31%
Marco 09 33.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.2%
30.4%
31.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São João de Ver has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
Marco 09 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
São João de Ver - Marco 09 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Junior J. (G) 6. Camara M. 8. Campas T. 7. Machado J. 4. Morais B. (C) 10. Pereira N. 25. Ruca Morgado 21. Rui Bruno 29. Valente R. 55. Vilela M. 87. Zequinha
64. Martins T. (G) 23. Araujo Guilherme J. L. 77. Barrett R. 4. Chicao 8. Erivaldo 18. Fernandes F. 10. Garro L. (C) 17. Gata J. 82. Guerrero J. 9. Ka 20. Traore B.
Substitutes
19. Carvalho J. O. 9. Erick 16. Jesse 40. Joao Matos 17. Luisinho 5. Ventura M. 41. Vilela R. 1. Virginia P. (G) 33. Washington
7. Lobo G. 5. Maycon 35. Pedro J. 14. Pedro P. 21. Pedrosa C. 32. Rego R. 19. Ribeiro P. 67. Victor Thiago 26. Ze Couto (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2', Camara M. 🟨,
20', Traore B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Machado J. ↓, Luisinho ↑,
46', Araujo Guilherme J. L. ↓, Pedro J. ↑,
60', Traore B. ↓, Maycon ↑,
68', Pereira N. ↓, Ventura M. ↑,
68', Zequinha ↓, Carvalho J. O. ↑,
71', Garro L. ↓, Ribeiro P. ↑,
77', Campas T. ↓, Jesse ↑,
80', Jesse 🟨,
81', Ruca Morgado 🟨,
86', Fernandes F. ↓, Victor Thiago ↑,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 9 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São João de Ver won 0.
Marco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, São João de Ver won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.5:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, São João de Ver won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.3:0).
Last Results with these Odds
Marco 09 - the odds 2.85 are the expected chance of winning is 31.46%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.