Match Info

Date: 21 November 2021, Sunday


	Náutico Capibaribe		Avaí

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.4	3.4	1.98
	3.05	3.15	2.14	Watch
	3.25	3.25	2.11
	3.41	3.36	2.26
	3.25	3.1	2.15
	3.2	3.45	2.19	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↑ (2.8)	3.29 ↑ (3.23)	2.14 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Náutico Capibaribe
28.4%

Draw
28.2%

Avaí
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

28.7%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

20.2%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Náutico Capibaribe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Avaí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Avaí's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (+18.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Náutico Capibaribe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (-16.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Avaí, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	25%	41.7%

Náutico Capibaribe - Avaí Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Náutico will win (votes: 8 - 33.3%). Avaí will win (votes: 10 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Avaí: 22% – 61.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 8 and 5).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Avaí could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Avaí will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Náutico won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Náutico won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Náutico Capibaribe
Brazilian Serie B
15.11.21	Náutico Capibaribe - Sampaio Corrêa	2:1 ✺
09.11.21	Confiança - Náutico Capibaribe	0:0 ✺
06.11.21	Náutico Capibaribe - Coritiba	2:1 ✺
02.11.21	Brusque - Náutico Capibaribe	4:3 ✺
28.10.21	Brasil de Pelotas - Náutico Capibaribe	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTWLL
- Avaí
Brazilian Serie B
13.11.21	Guarani - Avaí	4:0 ✺
08.11.21	Avaí - CS Alagoano	1:1 ✺
05.11.21	Avaí - Vitória Salvador	1:1 ✺
02.11.21	Brasil de Pelotas - Avaí	0:1 ✺
29.10.21	Operário Ferroviario - Avaí	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
14.08.21	Avaí - Náutico Capibaribe	2:0
06.11.20	Náutico Capibaribe - Avaí	2:2
08.08.20	Avaí - Náutico Capibaribe	3:1
12.11.16	Avaí - Náutico Capibaribe	3:0
22.07.16	Náutico Capibaribe - Avaí	3:1
04.10.14	Avaí - Náutico Capibaribe	0:2
27.05.14	Náutico Capibaribe - Avaí	0:1

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