Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 6

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Municipal Carlos Zamith (Manaus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping


	Amazonas		Figueirense

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.7	3.3	4.55	Watch
	1.8	3.4	4.8
	1.76	3.37	4.91	Watch
	1.75	3.1	4.33
	1.69	3.3	4.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.76)	3.29 ↑ (3.28)	4.69 ↓ (4.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amazonas
52.6%

Draw
27.8%

Figueirense
19.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.7%

28.3%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

27.5%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amazonas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Figueirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amazonas than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Figueirense than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Amazonas - Figueirense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Renan (G) 6. Fabiano 28. Gabriel Cipriano 26. Gabriel Domingos 25. Italo Silva 3. Iury 5. Jorge Jimenez (C) 2. Leo Coelho 23. Nunez P. 17. Rafael Vitor 20. Schiappacasse N.	52. Igo Gabriel (G) 11. Arthur Martins 70. Igor Bolt 30. Jean Mangabeira 2. Leo Maia 3. Leonan Santos 9. Lucas Alves 37. Lucas Dias (C) 7. Raynan 5. Renan Areias 66. Ryan Carlos
Substitutes
13. Alyson 30. Bernardo Daciolo 27. Fabinho 8. Jhonny Lucas 1. Joao Lopes (G) 14. Kauan Firmo 16. Leo Guerra 7. Marcelo Cirino . Marcel Scalese 9. Ronaldo 22. Victor Jesus 11. Vinicius Leite	14. Breno 12. Fabricio Santana (G) 27. Felipe Santiago 20. Guilherme Vieira 91. Hyuri 77. Joao Choco 82. Jose Carlos 17. Mailson 22. Vitor Ricardo

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Rafael Vitor 🟨,
35', Schiappacasse N. ↓, Marcelo Cirino ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Renan Areias ↓, Breno ↑,
52', Arthur Martins 🟨,
57', Breno 🟨,
62', Nunez P. ↓, Ronaldo ↑,
62', Italo Silva ↓, Leo Guerra ↑,
64', Lucas Alves ↓, Hyuri ↑,
64', Arthur Martins ↓, Guilherme Vieira ↑,
68', Fabiano 🟨,
69', Leo Maia ↓, Vitor Ricardo ↑,
71', 0 - 1, Igor Bolt ⚽,
78', 🟨,
81', Raynan ↓, Mailson ↑,
81', Fabiano ↓, Alyson ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 17).

Amazonas is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Figueirense's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Figueirense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Amazonas is considered a favorite.

We predict that Amazonas will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Amazonas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Amazonas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Amazonas - the odds 1.76 are the expected chance of winning is 52.71%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amazonas FC
Brazilian Serie C
03.05.26	Amazonas - Caxias	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Norte
29.04.26	Monte Roraima - Amazonas	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
26.04.26	Santa Cruz Recife - Amazonas	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Amazonas - Maranhão	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Norte
15.04.26	Amazonas - Porto Velho	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TTWWW
- Figueirense
Brazilian Serie C
04.05.26	Figueirense - Barra Santa Catarina	0:3 ✺
26.04.26	Anápolis - Figueirense	3:1 ✺
19.04.26	Figueirense - Botafogo PB	2:1 ✺
13.04.26	Figueirense - Maringá	1:3 ✺
06.04.26	Ypiranga - Figueirense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
12.03.26	Amazonas - Figueirense	0:1
Brazilian Serie C
30.07.23	Figueirense - Amazonas	0:1

Amazonas - Figueirense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide