The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Figueirense 67.1%
Draw 22.7%
Barra Santa Catarina 10.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.7%
27%
16.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.7%
25.6%
15.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Figueirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Figueirense's performance.
Barra Santa Catarina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barra Santa Catarina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Figueirense than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Figueirense that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barra Santa Catarina than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barra Santa Catarina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Figueirense - Barra Santa Catarina Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
68', 1 - 1, ⚽,
73', 🟥,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Figueirense won 3.
Figueirense is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Barra's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Figueirense is the obvious favorite.
We predict that Figueirense will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Figueirense won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:11. (average 2:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Figueirense won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.8:1.6).