Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 5

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Municipal Carlos Zamith (Manaus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet+, Zapping


	Amazonas		Caxias

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.98	2.88	3.9	Watch
	2	2.96	3.95
	2.05	2.89	4.12	Watch
	2	2.75	3.8
	1.97	2.92	3.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.08)	2.88 (2.88)	3.95 ↓ (4.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amazonas
45.4%

Draw
31.6%

Caxias
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

32.2%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

31.2%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amazonas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Caxias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amazonas than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Amazonas - Caxias Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Amazonas will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Renan (G) 6. Fabiano 28. Gabriel Cipriano 26. Gabriel Domingos 4. Iury 8. Jhonny Lucas 2. Leo Coelho 3. Marcel Scalese 10. Rafael Tavares 17. Rafael Vitor 20. Schiappacasse N.	1. Busatto G. (G) 7. Calyson 2. Felipe Albuquerque 11. Gaspar 5. Grigor 3. Ianson 10. Joao Lucas 8. Matheus Nunes 4. Mauricio Ribeiro 6. Roberto 9. Salatiel
Substitutes
13. Alyson 30. Bernardo Daciolo 27. Fabinho 21. Graffin A. 25. Italo Silva 1. Joao Lopes (G) 16. Leo Guerra 29. Marcondes 14. Mena Y. 23. Nunez P. 15. Raylison Pacheco 22. Victor Jesus	15. Breno Santos 18. Felipe Rangel 19. Jhonatan Ribeiro 12. Marcelo (G) 22. Marcelo Freitas 21. Matheus Anjos 14. Moraes 23. Ravanelli 16. Victor Sa 17. Vitor Feijao 20. Vitor Gabriel 13. Windson
Coaches
Cristian Souza	Marcelo Cabo

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Ianson 🟨,
33', Matheus Nunes 🟨,
43', Grigor 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Joao Lucas ↓, Breno Santos ↑,
46', Matheus Nunes ↓, Marcelo Freitas ↑,
46', Calyson ↓, Moraes ↑,
46', Iury ↓, Raylison Pacheco ↑,
55', Jhonny Lucas ↓, Fabinho ↑,
56', Rafael Tavares ↓, Nunez P. ↑,
64', Mauricio Ribeiro 🟨,
66', 1 - 0, Gabriel Cipriano ⚽,
67', Marcelo Freitas 🟨,
68', 🟨,
74', Grigor ↓, Ravanelli ↑,
76', Gabriel Cipriano ↓, Victor Jesus ↑,
78', Raylison Pacheco ↓, Italo Silva ↑,
81', Mauricio Ribeiro ↓, Jhonatan Ribeiro ↑,
83', Schiappacasse N. 🟨,
87', Gabriel Domingos 🟨,
90+1', Fabinho 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 1, Gaspar ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 10).

Amazonas is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Caxias has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Amazonas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Amazonas could have a small edge in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amazonas FC
Brazilian Copa Norte
29.04.26	Monte Roraima - Amazonas	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
26.04.26	Santa Cruz Recife - Amazonas	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Amazonas - Maranhão	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Norte
15.04.26	Amazonas - Porto Velho	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
12.04.26	Amazonas - Ituano	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TWWWW
- SER Caxias do Sul
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
30.04.26	Caxias - Volta Redonda	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
27.04.26	Caxias - Ypiranga	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Volta Redonda - Caxias	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
15.04.26	Avaí - Caxias	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
12.04.26	Caxias - Confiança	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWLLW

Amazonas - Caxias: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide