Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 2

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Municipal Carlos Zamith (Manaus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping


	Amazonas		Ituano

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.68	3.25	4.75	Watch
	1.77	3.35	4.58
	1.75	3.36	5	Watch
	1.75	3.1	4.33
	1.67	2.93	6.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.98)	3.2 ↑ (3.11)	4.97 ↑ (3.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amazonas
53%

Draw
28.6%

Ituano
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

29.8%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

29.4%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amazonas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Amazonas's performance.

Ituano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amazonas than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Amazonas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ituano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	37.5%	12.5%

Amazonas - Ituano Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Amazonas will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Ituano will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Amazonas: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Renan (G) 6. Fabiano 28. Gabriel Cipriano 26. Gabriel Domingos 4. Iury 5. Jorge Jimenez (C) 2. Leo Coelho 16. Leo Guerra 7. Marcelo Cirino 23. Nunez P. 17. Rafael Vitor	1. Wesley Borges (G) 8. Felipe Muranga 6. Guilherme Dal Pian (C) 9. Leo Passos 2. Lucas Mota 5. Malheiros P. 4. Moura E. 11. Osman 10. Richard 3. Sergipe 7. Victor Reis
Substitutes
27. Fabinho 25. Italo Silva 8. Jhonny Lucas 12. Joao Lopes (G) 20. Marcel Scalese 3. Marcondes 10. Rafael Tavares 15. Raylison 9. Ronaldo 18. Schiappacasse N. 22. Victor Jesus 11. Vinicius Leite	17. Bruno Alves 19. Gabriel Razera 13. JP Abreu 14. Lucas Dias 18. Lucas Stefanello 16. Marlinho 12. Pantera (G) 15. Teruel B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Nunez P. ↓, Rafael Tavares ↑,
46', Leo Guerra ↓, Vinicius Leite ↑,
46', Gabriel Cipriano 🟨,
47', 🟨,
58', Marcelo Cirino ↓, Ronaldo ↑,
61', Jorge Jimenez 🟨,
62', Osman ↓, Lucas Stefanello ↑,
62', Leo Passos ↓, Gabriel Razera ↑,
65', Rafael Vitor ↓, Italo Silva ↑,
69', Felipe Muranga ↓, JP Abreu ↑,
75', 1 - 0, Gabriel Domingos ⚽,
79', 2 - 0, Ronaldo ⚽,
80', Victor Reis ↓, Bruno Alves ↑,
82', Gabriel Cipriano ↓, Fabinho ↑,
87', 3 - 0, Rafael Tavares ⚽,

Preview

In recent matches, Amazonas has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ituano is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ituano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Amazonas has had a series of away games.

Amazonas will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Amazonas won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Including home match between the teams, Amazonas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Amazonas - the odds 1.98 are the expected chance of winning is 46.88%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amazonas FC
Brazilian Copa Norte
08.04.26	Remo - Amazonas	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
05.04.26	Confiança - Amazonas	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Norte
30.03.26	Amazonas - Águia de Marabá	0:2 ✺
26.03.26	Galvez - Amazonas	0:5 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Amazonense
21.03.26	Nacional AM - Amazonas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWLWL
- Ituano
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
08.04.26	Piracicaba - Ituano	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
05.04.26	Ituano - Anápolis	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
28.03.26	Água Santa - Ituano	1:2 ✺
25.03.26	Ituano - Água Santa	3:0 ✺
18.03.26	Ituano - Piracicaba	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
22.11.24	Ituano - Amazonas	0:1
03.08.24	Amazonas - Ituano	1:0

Amazonas - Ituano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide