Match Info
Amazonense - First stage - Play Offs - FinalDate: 8 February 2026, SundayLocation: Estádio Municipal Carlos Zamith (Manaus)
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 |
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 |
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Amazonas |
|
Nacional AM |
|
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.02 |
2.82 |
3.8 |
|
 |
2.08 |
2.62 |
3.89 |
|
 |
2.16 |
2.60 |
4.08 |
 Watch |
 |
2.15 |
2.63 |
3.8 |
|
 |
2.07 |
2.69 |
4.05 |
|
 |
2.08 |
2.62 |
4 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.09 ↑
(1.98) |
2.66 ↓
(3.01) |
3.94 ↑
(3.8) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Amazonas
43.1% | Draw
33.9% | Nacional AM
22.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amazonas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Nacional AM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amazonas than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional AM than the current prediction. (+0.1%)Amazonas - Nacional AM Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- Penalties (5 - 3)
- 1, Rafael Tavares (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, Anderson (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Ronald (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Renanzinho (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Jorge Jimenez (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Vitinho (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Vinicius Leite (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Amazonas won 2.Currently, both teams are in excellent shape. Amazonas will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Amazonas won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:12. (average 1.5:0.9).Including home matches between the teams, Amazonas won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:8. (average 1.4:1).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Campeonato Amazonense | | | 17.01.26 | Nacional AM - Amazonas | 1:1 | | 01.04.25 | Nacional AM - Amazonas | 1:2 | | 12.03.25 | Amazonas - Nacional AM | 0:1 | | 29.02.24 | Amazonas - Nacional AM | 0:0 | | 16.02.24 | Amazonas - Nacional AM | 2:1 | | 01.04.23 | Amazonas - Nacional AM | 0:0 | | 25.03.23 | Nacional AM - Amazonas | 0:1 |
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