Match Info

1. Lig - Round 17

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Diyarbakir Stadium (Diyarbakır)

Referee: Hasova G. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Amed SK		Bandırmaspor

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.7	5.5	Watch
	1.53	4.03	5.24
	1.58	4.07	5.6
	1.56	4.15	5.31	Watch
	1.62	3.75	5
	1.58	3.72	5.07
	1.54	3.8	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.48)	3.89 ↓ (4.37)	5.32 ↓ (5.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amed SK
58.9%

Draw
23.7%

Bandırmaspor
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.7%

21.2%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

20.7%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amed SK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Bandırmaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amed SK than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Amed SK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bandırmaspor than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Amed SK - Bandırmaspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Amed will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Bandırmaspor will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Kardesler E. (G) 7. Ucar M. 21. Yesil M. 47. Demirtas K. 3. Kaldirim H. A. 11. Traore A. 17. Poko A. 27. Moreno D. 91. Saba D. 99. Fernando Andrade 45. Diagne M.	1. Ozcimen A. (G) 6. Ciftci H. 33. Nukan A. 53. Albayrak M. 77. Berisbek R. 92. Mulumba R. 30. Acar E. 10. Gumuskaya M. 17. Ndongala D. 99. Douglas Tanque 7. Bacuna L.
Substitutes
33. Afena-Gyan F. 10. Cekdar O. 93. Girisen Y. 77. Hanalp C. 35. Kara A. 8. Kouyate C. 5. Kurt S. 96. Sapan V. (G) 30. Tarhan Y.	16. Alkan A. (G) 34. Aydin E. 23. Burgaz G. 8. Cinemre E. 88. Esendemir Y. 9. Kehinde T. 94. Samake W. 11. Topalli J. 18. Turkmen C. 35. Zorluer Y. (G)
Coaches
Kaloglu S.	Gursel M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Saba D. ⚽, Moreno D. (A),
45+3', 2 - 0, Moreno D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', Traore A. 🟨,
63', Ndongala D. ↓, Kehinde T. ↑,
69', 2 - 1, Berisbek R. ⚽, Bacuna L. (A),
74', Saba D. ↓, Hanalp C. ↑,
75', Fernando Andrade ↓, Afena-Gyan F. ↑,
82', Moreno D. ↓, Kurt S. ↑,
83', Albayrak M. ↓, Topalli J. ↑,
89', Bacuna L. ↓, Cinemre E. ↑,
90+4', Traore A. ↓, Cekdar O. ↑,
90+5', Diagne M. ↓, Kara A. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig and 9).

Amed is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Bandırmaspor's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bandırmaspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Amed is the team to beat.

There will not play in Amed: Aydin O. (Suspended) Gulmez A. K. (Suspended) Kaya B. (Suspended)

There will not play in Bandırmaspor: Celibkay T. (Inactive) Kalender T. (Suspended)

We predict that Amed will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Amed won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Amed won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 2.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amed SK
Turkish First League
06.12.25	Umraniyespor - Amed SK	3:4 ✺
28.11.25	Amed SK - Erokspor	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	Boluspor - Amed SK	4:1 ✺
08.11.25	Amed SK - Hatayspor	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Manisa FK - Amed SK	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWLWW
- Bandırmaspor
Turkish First League
08.12.25	Bandırmaspor - Bodrumspor	2:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
04.12.25	Fethiyespor - Bandırmaspor	4:1 ✺
Turkish First League
30.11.25	Sarıyer - Bandırmaspor	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	Bandırmaspor - Çorum	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Bandırmaspor - Boluspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
12.02.25	Amed SK - Bandırmaspor	2:1
14.09.24	Bandırmaspor - Amed SK	0:1
Turkish Cup
21.01.16	Amed SK - Bandırmaspor	3:3
16.12.15	Bandırmaspor - Amed SK	1:2
Turkish Second League Red Group
08.02.15	Bandırmaspor - Amed SK	2:2

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