Match Info

1. Lig - Round 15

Date: 28 November 2025, Friday

Location: Diyarbakir Stadium (Diyarbakır)

Referee: Ozturk U. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Amed SK		Erokspor

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.4	4.2	Watch
				Watch
	1.95	3.49	3.4
	2.06	3.53	3.52
	1.73	3.97	4.04	Watch
	1.88	3.42	3.63
	1.96	3.5	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.73)	3.55 ↓ (3.97)	3.7 ↓ (4.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amed SK
49%

Draw
26%

Erokspor
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

23.4%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amed SK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Erokspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amed SK than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erokspor than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	28.6%	14.3%

Amed SK - Erokspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Amed will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Erokspor will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Amed (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Kardesler E. (C) 7. Ucar M. 14. Bassan E. 21. Yesil M. 47. Demirtas K. 3. Kaldirim H. A. 11. Traore A. 27. Moreno D. 17. Poko A. 91. Saba D. 45. Diagne M.	44. Oral E. A. (G) 15. Nzaba F. 97. Cavare D. 14. Ulas O. 33. Alic E. 20. Niyaz R. 4. Kacar T. (C) 5. Okyar M. 10. Kayode O. 73. Lus B. 7. Catakovic H.
Substitutes
10. Cekdar O. 99. Fernando Andrade 93. Girisen Y. 35. Kara A. 75. Karaman B. 8. Kouyate C. 5. Kurt S. 96. Sapan V. (G) 30. Tarhan Y.	11. Faye M. 80. Genc M. 23. Hidayetoglu A. 6. Jack R. 8. Karaman A. 2. Kestane O. 17. Korkmaz E. 41. Mehmet I. 16. Yasar A.
Coaches
Kaloglu S.	Ozkoylu O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
39', 0 - 1, Okyar M. ⚽, Catakovic H. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Catakovic H. ↓, Faye M. ↑,
51', Niyaz R. ↓, Karaman A. ↑,
53', Kaldirim H. A. 🟨,
66', Bassan E. ↓, Fernando Andrade ↑,
66', Saba D. ↓, Cekdar O. ↑,
73', Yesil M. 🟨,
74', Lus B. ↓, Hidayetoglu A. ↑,
78', 1 - 1, Poko A. ⚽, Moreno D. (A),
79', Kayode O. ↓, Genc M. ↑,
80', Kacar T. ↓, Jack R. ↑,
81', Okyar M. 🟨,
84', Fernando Andrade 🟨,
85', Nzaba F. 🟨,
87', 2 - 1, Diagne M. (Pen),
90', Kardesler E. 🟨,
90', Diagne M. ↓, Kouyate C. ↑,
90+1', Moreno D. ↓, Kurt S. ↑,
90+5', Poko A. ↓, Kara A. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig).

Amed has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Erokspor is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Amed is the team to beat.

There will not play in Amed: Afena-Gyan F. (Red Card) Aydin O. (Suspended) Gezer U. (Suspended) Gulmez A. K. (Suspended) Hanalp C. (Yellow Cards) Kaya B. (Suspended)

There will not play in Erokspor: Amilton (Suspended) Cetin E. (Suspended) Gedik E. (Suspended) Isik E. (Suspended) Kahveci M. (Suspended) Tetik B. (Suspended)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Amed won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Amed won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Amed SK - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 53.65%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amed SK
Turkish First League
22.11.25	Boluspor - Amed SK	4:1 ✺
08.11.25	Amed SK - Hatayspor	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Manisa FK - Amed SK	0:3 ✺
Turkish Cup
29.10.25	Silifke - Amed SK	3:0 ✺
Turkish First League
26.10.25	Amed SK - İstanbulspor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWWLT
- Erokspor
Turkish First League
23.11.25	Erokspor - Sivasspor	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Erzurumspor - Erokspor	1:1 ✺
03.11.25	Erokspor - Çorum	3:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
30.10.25	Erokspor - Agrispor	3:0 ✺
Turkish First League
26.10.25	Bandırmaspor - Erokspor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
01.03.25	Erokspor - Amed SK	1:1
06.10.24	Amed SK - Erokspor	0:4
Turkish Second League White Group
08.04.23	Amed SK - Erokspor	1:0
30.10.22	Erokspor - Amed SK	1:2

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