Match Info

TURKEY: 1. Lig - Round 28

Date: 4 March 2025, Tuesday

Location: Diyarbakir Stadium (Diyarbakır)

Referee: Avci I. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Amed SK		Gençlerbirliği

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.2	3.1	Watch
	2.3	3.2	3.2	Watch
	2.29	3.18	3.35
	2.3	3.06	3.3	Watch
	2.25	3	3.1
	2.24	3.13	3.16
	2.3	3.2	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.09)	3.14 ↓ (3.22)	3.2 ↓ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amed SK
41.1%

Draw
29.8%

Gençlerbirliği
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

28.8%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

29.9%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amed SK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Gençlerbirliği has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amed SK than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Amed SK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gençlerbirliği than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Amed SK - Gençlerbirliği Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Amed will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Gençlerbirliği will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Kardesler E. (G) 7. Ucar M. 21. Yesil M. 15. Gezer U. 19. Bayram O. 18. Kurt S. 20. Adekanye B. 71. Poko A. 10. Cekdar O. 27. Moreno D. 25. Keita C.	18. Erenturk E. (G) 20. Okyar M. 90. Osmanoglu S. 15. Zuzek Z. 12. Berber O. 16. Kabak A. 89. Amilton 61. Kemaloglu E. 14. Nalepa M. 7. Mimaroglu M. 9. Popa D.
Substitutes
5. Acer M. 65. Aydin O. 6. Cassubie Y. 4. Cetin V. 23. Ceylan Y. 99. Fernando Andrade 35. Koc A. 8. Lourenco B. 96. Sapan V. (G) 24. Tur B.	19. Altiparmak G. 53. Atay T. 1. Aydin E. (G) 6. Cagiran B. 25. Islamoglu U. 10. Joca 99. Leo Gaucho 8. Onur S. 13. Ozdemir O. (G) 27. Unal E.
Coaches
Cetin S.	Eroglu H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', Adekanye B. 🟨,
28', Mimaroglu M. (Pen),
41', 0 - 1, Amilton ⚽,
45+2', Nalepa M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kardesler E. ↓, Sapan V. ↑,
49', Kabak A. 🟨,
55', Popa D. ↓, Leo Gaucho ↑,
58', Poko A. ↓, Cassubie Y. ↑,
60', Adekanye B. ↓, Fernando Andrade ↑,
61', Leo Gaucho 🟨,
77', Kurt S. 🟨,
77', Erenturk E. 🟨,
80', 1 - 1, Cassubie Y. ⚽, Cekdar O. (A),
85', Nalepa M. ↓, Cagiran B. ↑,
89', Mimaroglu M. ↓, Onur S. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)).

Recent matches Amed is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gençlerbirliği is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gençlerbirliği could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Amed will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Gençlerbirliği: Etebo P. (Hamstring Injury) Uzum F. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Gençlerbirliği: Gureler Y. (Injury) Hanousek M. (Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Amed won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:12 (average 0.3:4).

Including matches at home between the teams Amed won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amed SK
Turkish First League
01.03.25	Erokspor - Amed SK	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Amed SK - Yeni Malatyaspor	4:0 ✺
16.02.25	Boluspor - Amed SK	0:0 ✺
12.02.25	Amed SK - Bandırmaspor	2:1 ✺
08.02.25	Kocaelispor - Amed SK	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TWTWL
- Gençlerbirliği
Turkish First League
28.02.25	Gençlerbirliği - Manisa FK	3:0 ✺
22.02.25	Keçiörengücü - Gençlerbirliği	3:3 ✺
16.02.25	Gençlerbirliği - Pendikspor	3:0 ✺
12.02.25	Erzurumspor - Gençlerbirliği	1:2 ✺
07.02.25	Gençlerbirliği - Erokspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
19.10.24	Gençlerbirliği - Amed SK	1:1
Turkish Cup
08.01.17	Amed SK - Gençlerbirliği	0:5
29.12.16	Gençlerbirliği - Amed SK	6:0

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