Match Info

TURKEY: 1. Lig - Round 23

Date: 7 February 2025, Friday

Location: Eryaman Stadium (Ankara)

Referee: Aksu O. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Gençlerbirliği		Erokspor

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.4	4.1	Watch
	1.82	3.25	3.75
	1.87	3.5	4.2
	1.87	3.43	4.38
	1.83	3.43	4.42	Watch
	1.85	3.2	3.9
	1.84	3.48	4.19	Watch
	1.87	3.5	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.8)	3.4 ↓ (3.57)	4.14 ↓ (4.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gençlerbirliği
50.3%

Draw
27.3%

Erokspor
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

26.1%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

25.1%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gençlerbirliği has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Erokspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gençlerbirliği than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erokspor than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	0%	7.7%

Gençlerbirliği - Erokspor Predictions

Users Predictions: Gençlerbirliği will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Erenturk E. (G) 88. Uzum F. 90. Osmanoglu S. 15. Zuzek Z. 23. Hanousek M. 5. Etebo P. 20. Okyar M. 89. Amilton 14. Nalepa M. 7. Mimaroglu M. 19. Altiparmak G.	1. Kilicarslan E. (G) 70. Orak F. 15. Nzaba F. 4. Kacar T. 53. Albayrak M. 20. Keser B. 6. Laine J. 10. Akyol U. 12. Kayode O. 9. Catakovic H. 16. Yasar A.
Substitutes
53. Atay T. 24. Babacan A. 12. Berber O. 11. Fedai C. 25. Islamoglu U. 10. Joca 61. Kemaloglu E. 8. Onur S. 13. Ozdemir O. (G) 27. Unal E.	80. Aydogmus B. 5. Aytac S. 77. Ceylan O. 99. Furat E. I. 98. Kafkasyali E. (G) 3. Korkmazoglu E. 14. Mert M. 21. Oscar Pinchi 34. Sahillioglu E. (G) 17. Toplu A.
Coaches
Eroglu H.	Korkmaz B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Kayode O. ⚽, Catakovic H. (A),
36', Etebo P. ↓, Kemaloglu E. ↑,
43', Nalepa M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Laine J. 🟨,
60', Uzum F. ↓, Babacan A. ↑,
60', Nalepa M. ↓, Joca ↑,
64', Kilicarslan E. 🟨,
65', Catakovic H. 🟨,
67', Laine J. ↓, Aydogmus B. ↑,
69', Albayrak M. 🟨,
73', Amilton 🟨,
75', 1 - 1, Amilton ⚽, Mimaroglu M. (A),
75', Kilicarslan E. 🟨,
78', Kayode O. ↓, Furat E. I. ↑,
79', Keser B. ↓, Kafkasyali E. ↑,
86', Yasar A. ↓, Aytac S. ↑,
86', Catakovic H. ↓, Mert M. ↑,
88', Okyar M. ↓, Onur S. ↑,
90+9', Mert M. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 14).

Gençlerbirliği in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Erokspor is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Gençlerbirliği is a favorite.

There are questionable in Gençlerbirliği: Gureler Y. (Injury)

Our prediction for today's Gençlerbirliği to win the game is with odds 1.78.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Gençlerbirliği won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Gençlerbirliği won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gençlerbirliği
Turkish First League
01.02.25	Gençlerbirliği - Igdirspor	2:0 ✺
25.01.25	Boluspor - Gençlerbirliği	0:2 ✺
20.01.25	Gençlerbirliği - Kocaelispor	1:0 ✺
12.01.25	Gençlerbirliği - Yeni Malatyaspor	3:0 ✺
06.01.25	Sakaryaspor - Gençlerbirliği	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWWWT
- Erokspor
Turkish First League
02.02.25	Erokspor - Boluspor	1:1 ✺
25.01.25	Yeni Malatyaspor - Erokspor	0:1 ✺
18.01.25	Erokspor - Adanaspor	1:0 ✺
11.01.25	Erokspor - Sakaryaspor	1:1 ✺
05.01.25	İstanbulspor - Erokspor	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
30.08.24	Erokspor - Gençlerbirliği	1:2
Turkish Cup
30.10.19	Gençlerbirliği - Erokspor	0:2

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