Match Info
Carioca 2 - Round 11Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
|
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America RJ |
|
Serrano FC |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.10 |
2.75 |
3.50 |
|
 |
2.15 |
2.88 |
3.70 |
|
 |
2.17 |
2.81 |
3.67 |
|
 |
2.16 |
2.85 |
3.6 |
|
 |
2.14 |
2.80 |
3.55 |
|
 |
2.13 |
2.81 |
3.63 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.14 ↑
(1.96) |
2.82 ↓
(2.98) |
3.61 ↓
(3.91) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
America RJ
42.5% | Draw
32.3% | Serrano FC
25.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
America RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)Serrano FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for America RJ than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for America RJ, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Serrano FC than the current prediction. (-3.1%)America RJ - Serrano FC Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 24', 1 - 0, Lua Lucio ⚽,
- 2nd Half (4 - 0)
- 68', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 83', 3 - 0, ⚽,
- 87', 4 - 0, ⚽,
- 90+1', (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+1', 5 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 5 and 10).America RJ has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).Serrano is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).America RJ may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. America RJ could have a small edge in this match.In the last 1 head-to-head match, America RJ won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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