Match Info
Carioca 2 - Round 10Date: 1 July 2026, Wednesday
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 |
|
 |
|
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Bonsucesso |
|
America RJ |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3.20 |
2.85 |
2.15 |
|
 |
3.05 |
2.75 |
2.28 |
|
 |
3.36 |
2.95 |
2.26 |
|
 |
3.36 |
3.01 |
2.16 |
|
 |
3.15 |
2.90 |
2.20 |
|
 |
3.28 |
2.93 |
2.20 |
|
 |
2.68 |
2.92 |
2.62 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.15 ↑
(2.63) |
2.9 ↑
(2.85) |
2.27 ↓
(2.55) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Bonsucesso
28.7% | Draw
31.3% | America RJ
40% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bonsucesso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bonsucesso's form might have worsened.America RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting America RJ's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bonsucesso than the current prediction. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for America RJ than the current prediction. (-4.8%)Bonsucesso - America RJ Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 13', 1 - 0, Walney (Penalty Awarded),
- 26', 2 - 0, Carlinhos Santos ⚽,
- 45+7', 2 - 1, Emerson Carioca ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 47', 2 - 2, ⚽,
- 90', 3 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Carioca B1 and 5).Bonsucesso has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).America RJ has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).Bonsucesso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. America RJ could have a small edge in this match.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Bonsucesso won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).Including home match between the teams, Bonsucesso won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Campeonato Carioca | | | 04.03.18 | Bonsucesso - America RJ | 1:1 | | 03.02.18 | America RJ - Bonsucesso | 3:1 | | 21.12.17 | America RJ - Bonsucesso | 0:1 | | 31.03.16 | America RJ - Bonsucesso | 1:1 |
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