Match Info

FNL 2 - Division A Silver - Fall Season - Round 9

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Zvezda Stadium (Perm)


	Amkar Perm		Tyumen

	1	X	2
	2.20	3.30	3.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2.14)	3.3 ↓ (3.32)	3.1 ↑ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amkar Perm
42.1%

Draw
28.1%

Tyumen
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

27.4%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

29.2%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amkar Perm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Tyumen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amkar Perm than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tyumen than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Dolzhenko V. (G) 31. Burykin K. 4. Gallyamov E. 11. Ignatenko V. 89. Khvat N. 78. Kumsarov D. 23. Mikhaylov D. 88. Novikov M. (C) 92. Stanisavljevic A. 10. Usov D. 28. Zhilkin G.	35. Kokarev V. (G) 56. Demyanov V. 70. Maryanov A. 2. Polev A. 3. Polyakov M. 7. Roshchin A. 96. Rukas T. 90. Shakuro P. (C) 17. Shitov V. 10. Tatarinov E. 5. Tonevitskiy E.
Substitutes
9. Agureev D. 14. Chushyalov D. 73. Eremeev D. (G) 97. Goldobin N. 17. Malozemov M. 19. Popov K. 45. Pridyuk A. 5. Sanakoev G. 3. Smolnikov M. 77. Snegirev E. 7. Tyukalov E.	11. Babaev V. 45. Boyarskikh K. 24. Grinwald V. 25. Kulaev M. 54. Lukin D. (G) 14. Luzin S. 95. Oborocha I. 97. Talikin D. 4. Zakharov G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
23', Roshchin A. ↓, Oborocha I. ↑,
34', 0 - 1, Tatarinov E. ⚽,
34', Dolzhenko V. 🟨,
37', 0 - 2, Tatarinov E. ⚽,
45', 1 - 2, Mikhaylov D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Shitov V. ↓, Babaev V. ↑,
66', Burykin K. ↓, Agureev D. ↑,
68', Khvat N. ↓, Popov K. ↑,
75', Mikhaylov D. ↓, Tyukalov E. ↑,
77', Tatarinov E. ↓, Boyarskikh K. ↑,
79', 2 - 2, Usov D. ⚽,
83', 2 - 3, Boyarskikh K. ⚽,
86', Shakuro P. ↓, Luzin S. ↑,
87', Polyakov M. ↓, Grinwald V. ↑,
89', Tonevitskiy E. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Amkar won 2.

In recent matches, Amkar has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tyumen is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Amkar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Amkar will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Amkar won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:16. (average 0.7:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Amkar won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Amkar ✔	10	6	1	3	23:13	10	19
3	Tyumen ✔	11	6	1	4	22:15	7	19

Last Results with these Odds

Tyumen - the odds 3.01 are the expected chance of winning is 30.18%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amkar Perm
Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
30.08.26	Amkar Perm - Zenit 2	2:2 ✺
Russian Cup
25.08.26	Dynamo Kirov - Amkar Perm	5:4 penalties ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
22.08.26	Torpedo Miass - Amkar Perm	5:0 ✺
16.08.26	Amkar Perm - Dynamo Stavropol	5:1 ✺
Russian Cup
12.08.26	Amkar Perm - Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TLLWW
- FC Tyumen
Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
05.09.26	Tyumen - Dynamo 2 Moscow	5:2 ✺
30.08.26	Tyumen - Irtysh Omsk	5:0 ✺
23.08.26	Zenit 2 - Tyumen	1:1 ✺
16.08.26	Tyumen - Torpedo Miass	4:3 ✺
Russian Cup
12.08.26	Volna Kovernino - Tyumen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
01.08.26	Tyumen - Amkar Perm	0:2
24.05.26	Tyumen - Amkar Perm	0:0
05.04.26	Amkar Perm - Tyumen	2:0
Russian Cup
29.10.24	Tyumen - Amkar Perm	3:0
Russian FNL 2 Group 4
21.05.23	Amkar Perm - Tyumen	0:2
29.04.23	Amkar Perm - Tyumen	0:2
24.07.22	Tyumen - Amkar Perm	4:0

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