Match Info

Date: 22 October 2022, Saturday


	Ammanford		Swansea University

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.6	2.11
	2.67	3.74	2.13
	2.78	3.6	2.22
	2.7	3.7	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.31)	3.66 ↑ (3.63)	2.16 ↓ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ammanford
33.4%

Draw
24.7%

Swansea University
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

24.2%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

22.3%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ammanford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Swansea University has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ammanford than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swansea University than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Ammanford is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Swansea University is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Swansea University could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Ammanford won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Ammanford won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ammanford AFC
Welsh League Cup
19.10.22	Ammanford - Cardiff Metropolitan	0:3 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
30.09.22	Ammanford - Goytre United	2:3 ✺
23.09.22	Afan Lido - Ammanford	2:1 ✺
Welsh League Cup
20.09.22	Pen-y-Bont - Ammanford	1:2 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
29.08.22	Ammanford - Abergavenny Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 57.3 LLLWW
- Swansea University FC
Welsh Cymru South
15.10.22	Swansea University - Cwmbran Celtic	1:1 ✺
30.09.22	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Swansea University	2:2 ✺
24.09.22	Swansea University - Llanelli	0:2 ✺
29.08.22	Taffs Well AFC - Swansea University	0:0 ✺
26.08.22	Afan Lido - Swansea University	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh League Cup
06.08.22	Ammanford - Swansea University	2:1
Welsh Cymru South
01.04.22	Ammanford - Swansea University	0:0
13.08.21	Swansea University - Ammanford	2:1
27.08.19	Ammanford - Swansea University	2:4

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