Match Info

WALES: FA Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 November 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, S4C Clic, S4C Digital, S4C


	Ammanford		Haverfordwest County

	1	X	2
	8.75	5.25	1.24
	9.4	5.4	1.23
	7.52	5.07	1.26
	8.41	5.3	1.28	Watch
	7.5	5	1.29
	9.05	5.3	1.25
	9.4	5.4	1.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.58 ↑ (7.75)	5.25 ↑ (5)	1.25 ↓ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ammanford
10.6%

Draw
17.3%

Haverfordwest County
72.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.7%

18.2%

70%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.1%

17.3%

73.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ammanford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Haverfordwest County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ammanford than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haverfordwest County than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Ammanford - Haverfordwest County Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Watts R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
80', 1 - 1, Euros G. ⚽,
Penalties (9 - 10)
1, Reed L. (Pen),
1, (Pen),
2, Morgan A. (Pen),
2, (Pen),
3, Invernizzi J. (Pen),
3, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
5, John A. (Pen),
5, (Pen),
6, (Pen),
6, (Pen),
7, (Pen),
7, (Pen),
8, (Pen),
8, (Pen),
9, (Pen),
9, (Pen),
10, (Pen),
10, (Pen),
11, (Pen),
11, (Pen),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ammanford won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Haverfordwest could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Haverfordwest is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Ammanford won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 3:12 (average 0.5:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Ammanford won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:6 (average 0.8:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ammanford AFC
Welsh Cymru South
08.11.24	Ammanford - Caerau Ely	0:2 ✺
01.11.24	Pontypridd United - Ammanford	3:0 ✺
25.10.24	Ammanford - Cwmbran Celtic	6:2 ✺
11.10.24	Ammanford - Goytre United	3:1 ✺
04.10.24	Cambrian United - Ammanford	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLWWL
- Haverfordwest County
Welsh Cymru Premier
10.11.24	The New Saints - Haverfordwest County	2:1 ✺
02.11.24	Haverfordwest County - Flint Town United	4:1 ✺
26.10.24	Haverfordwest County - Caernarfon Town	0:0 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
19.10.24	Haverfordwest County - Trethomas Bluebirds	0:0 ✺
Welsh Cymru Premier
15.10.24	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Haverfordwest County	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
10.07.24	Ammanford - Haverfordwest County	0:3
Welsh FA Cup
11.11.23	Haverfordwest County - Ammanford	2:0
Club Friendly
13.07.21	Ammanford - Haverfordwest County	1:2
Welsh Cymru South
26.11.19	Ammanford - Haverfordwest County	0:1
Welsh Division 1
22.03.19	Ammanford - Haverfordwest County	2:0
05.10.18	Haverfordwest County - Ammanford	4:0

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