Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - ROUND 21

Date: 5 March 2023, Sunday

Location: Estádio do Bonfim (Setúbal)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Setúbal		Belenenses

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.25	2.5
	2.4	3.35	2.6
	2.4	3.25	2.6
	2.61	3.41	2.72
	2.48	3.3	2.63
	2.42	3.25	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (2.66)	3.3 ↓ (3.41)	2.62 ↓ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Setúbal
37.4%

Draw
27.7%

Belenenses
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

28.1%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

29.3%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Setúbal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Belenenses has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Setúbal than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

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Preview

Setúbal is Liga 3 (Relegation Group)

Setúbal is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Belenenses is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Belenenses could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Setúbal won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitoria Setúbal
Portuguese Liga 3
26.02.23	Real SC - Setúbal	1:2 ✺
19.02.23	Setúbal - Académica Coimbra	0:0 ✺
12.02.23	Alverca - Setúbal	2:0 ✺
05.02.23	Oliveira Hospital - Setúbal	3:1 ✺
28.01.23	Setúbal - Moncarapachense	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WTLLL
- Os Belenenses
Portuguese Liga 3
25.02.23	Belenenses - Moncarapachense	2:1 ✺
19.02.23	Caldas - Belenenses	0:1 ✺
11.02.23	Belenenses - Fontinhas	6:0 ✺
05.02.23	Sporting Lisbon B - Belenenses	0:1 ✺
29.01.23	Belenenses - Leiria	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
27.11.22	Belenenses - Setúbal	2:1

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