Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 3

Date: 8 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Campo Municipal de Urritxe (Amorebieta-Etxano)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Amorebieta		Gimnástic de Tarragona

	1	X	2
	2.9	2.9	2.4
	2.75	2.8	2.45
	2.75	2.95	2.65
	2.85	2.86	2.76
	2.88	2.83	2.58	Watch
	2.76	2.89	2.65
	2.75	2.95	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.45)	2.88 ↓ (3.1)	2.59 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amorebieta
32.7%

Draw
31.8%

Gimnástic de Tarragona
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

29.3%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

31.5%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amorebieta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Gimnástic de Tarragona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Amorebieta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnástic de Tarragona than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Amorebieta - Gimnástic de Tarragona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Campos G. (G) 2. Carbonell A. 5. Amelibia J. (C) 4. Kortazar M. 3. Camacho S. 18. Coulibaly A. 14. Ben Hamed N. 6. Nakai P. 11. Hervias P. 21. Marin A. 10. Berto	1. Varo A. (G) 4. Domingo Ciuraneta P. 15. Leal A. 5. Dufur U. 21. Oriol J. (C) 8. Montalvo M. 14. Sanz O. 6. Gorostidi A. 10. Jardi J. 17. Fernandez P. 22. Narro V.
Substitutes
15. Aurtenetxe J. 23. Calavera J. 20. Coto E. 8. Guerrero J. 33. Issachi A. 1. Marino U. (G) 17. Munoz I. 27. Reka 7. Selma D. 28. Yaniz P. 22. Yuste A.	9. Antonin 11. Fernandez M. 18. Jimenez A. 7. Jimenez N. 16. Lopez A. 3. Perez G. 13. Rebollo D. (G) 19. Rodriguez M. 20. Tirlea A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Leal A. 🟨,
45', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Leal A. ↓, Antonin ↑,
61', Narro V. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
61', Montalvo M. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
68', Berto ↓, Reka ↑,
68', Marin A. ↓, Munoz I. ↑,
68', Hervias P. ↓, Aurtenetxe J. ↑,
71', Coulibaly A. ↓, Yuste A. ↑,
79', Fernandez P. ↓, Jimenez A. ↑,
86', Camacho S. 🟨,
90', Ben Hamed N. ↓, Yaniz P. ↑,
90+1', Jardi J. ↓, Jimenez N. ↑,
90+5', 🟥,
90+6', 0 - 1, Oriol J. ⚽,

Preview

Amorebieta is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Gimnàstic is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Gimnàstic have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Amorebieta won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Amorebieta won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Amorebieta
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
01.09.24	Lugo - Amorebieta	0:0 ✺
24.08.24	Amorebieta - Gimnástica Segoviana	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.24	Amorebieta - Eibar	0:2 ✺
02.08.24	Racing Santander - Amorebieta	2:0 ✺
27.07.24	Amorebieta - Castro	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLLLW
- Gimnástic de Tarragona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
01.09.24	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Sestao	1:1 ✺
24.08.24	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Ourense CF	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
18.08.24	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Espanyol B	3:0 ✺
10.08.24	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Huesca	1:0 ✺
07.08.24	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Zaragoza	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
20.05.23	Amorebieta - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:1
25.09.22	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Amorebieta	1:0

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