The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Amorebieta 57.6%
Draw 24.5%
Gimnástica de Torrelavega 17.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
67.2%
20.4%
12.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
70.9%
18.1%
11%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amorebieta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Amorebieta's form might have worsened.
Gimnástica de Torrelavega has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gimnástica de Torrelavega's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (+13.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Amorebieta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnástica de Torrelavega than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gimnástica de Torrelavega, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
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Amorebieta - Gimnástica de Torrelavega Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 6th and 18th in the Relegation).
Amorebieta has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Torrelavega is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Amorebieta could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Amorebieta carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Amorebieta has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:2 (averaging 1.5:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Amorebieta against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals.