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Current Win Probability
Amsterdamsche FC 34.7%
Draw 26.3%
GVVV 39%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.7%
26.1%
35.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.9%
26.2%
35%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amsterdamsche FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
GVVV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amsterdamsche FC than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for GVVV than the current prediction. (-4%)
Amsterdamsche FC - GVVV Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. van Zetten G. (G) 27. Lee I. 2. Lucke B. 23. van Rhijn R. 15. van Weerdenburg G. 43. Hovenkamp T. 6. Benninga N. 24. Eliasar M. 14. Klopper M. 22. Shenkman N. 28. Gouda D.
1. van Kouwen R. (G) 2. Dilrosun T. 6. van Soest A. 8. Maguire B. 3. Willems M. 10. Veenhof Q. 4. Hillen K. 17. Berden M. 21. Spies J. 20. Potjes J. 23. Vink W.
Substitutes
4. Ederveen S. 19. el Ibrahimi K. 8. Hoek M. 3. Markiet G. 21. Nolet D. (G) 7. Platje M. 10. van der Greft J.
15. de Leeuw D. 22. Dumay Q. 31. Evora E. (G) 9. Latif I. 14. Meeuwsen K. 7. Sint V. 29. Slijkhuis G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, van Soest A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Eliasar M. ↓, Ederveen S. ↑,
57', Shenkman N. ↓, van der Greft J. ↑,
64', Klopper M. 🟨,
77', Klopper M. ↓, Platje M. ↑,
77', Hovenkamp T. ↓, Markiet G. ↑,
84', Vink W. ↓, Meeuwsen K. ↑,
85', Spies J. ↓, Slijkhuis G. ↑,
85', Potjes J. ↓, de Leeuw D. ↑,
86', 0 - 2, Meeuwsen K. ⚽,
88', van Soest A. ↓, Latif I. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AFC won 3.
Recent performances by AFC have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
GVVV is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, AFC won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:25. (average 1.8:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, AFC won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.8:1.4).
Last Results with these Odds
Amsterdamsche FC - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 38.71%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.