Match Info

Tweede Divisie - Round 15

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Sportpark Dijkpolder (Maassluis)


	Excelsior Maassluis		Amsterdamsche FC

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3	3.2	2.12
	3.04	3.18	2.25
	3.29	3.47	2.06	Watch
	3.05	3.78	2.1	Watch
	3	3.1	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↓ (3.29)	3.35 ↓ (3.47)	2.15 ↑ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Excelsior Maassluis
29.8%

Draw
27.4%

Amsterdamsche FC
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

26.7%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

26.2%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Excelsior Maassluis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Amsterdamsche FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior Maassluis than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amsterdamsche FC than the current prediction. (+3%)

Excelsior Maassluis - Amsterdamsche FC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. El Fakiri K. (G) 2. Tureaij C. 3. Ringeling K. (C) 6. van Eerden J. 4. Heuvelman D. 38. de Bruijn R. 27. Plank D. 30. Hamd Y. 14. Verbont J. 10. Bakour M. 11. Tavares Q.	1. van Zetten G. (G) 2. Lucke B. 15. van Weerdenburg G. (C) 23. van Rhijn R. 27. Lee I. 6. Benninga N. 22. Shenkman N. 24. Eliasar M. 14. Klopper M. 43. Hovenkamp T. 28. Gouda D.
Substitutes
26. Bronder S. 20. Houwaart M. 24. Lopes Varela D. 46. Losiabaar G. 17. Losiabaar G. 21. Nagtegaal N. 1. Van der Kleij T. (G)	25. Brussee D. 19. el Ibrahimi K. 8. Hoek M. 3. Markiet G. 21. Nolet D. (G) 7. Platje M. 10. van der Greft J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', van Eerden J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Bakour M. ↓, Slagveer D. ↑,
61', 0 - 1, Gouda D. ⚽, van Weerdenburg G. (A),
64', 1 - 1, Tavares Q. ⚽, Verbont J. (A),
65', Eliasar M. ↓, el Ibrahimi K. ↑,
75', Hovenkamp T. ↓, Hoek M. ↑,
78', Lucke B. ↓, Markiet G. ↑,
78', Klopper M. ↓, Platje M. ↑,
80', Hoek M. 🟨,
82', van Eerden J. ↓, Bronder S. ↑,
82', Verbont J. ↓, Houwaart M. ↑,
90+4', de Bruijn R. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Tweede Divisie (Relegation) and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Excelsior Maassluis won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

AFC might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Excelsior Maassluis won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:30. (average 1.1:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Excelsior Maassluis won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1.3:1.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Amsterdamsche FC - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 45.05%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Excelsior Maassluis
Dutch Tweede Divisie
22.11.25	Kozakken Boys - Excelsior Maassluis	1:1 ✺
15.11.25	Excelsior Maassluis - IJsselmeervogels	0:4 ✺
08.11.25	Quick Boys - Excelsior Maassluis	2:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
29.10.25	Excelsior Maassluis - Excelsior	1:0 ET ✺
Dutch Tweede Divisie
25.10.25	Excelsior Maassluis - HHC Hardenberg	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.1 TLLWW
- Amsterdamsche FC
Dutch Tweede Divisie
22.11.25	Amsterdamsche FC - RKAV Volendam	3:1 ✺
15.11.25	HSV Hoek - Amsterdamsche FC	2:2 ✺
08.11.25	Amsterdamsche FC - Jong Sparta Rotterdam	1:4 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
30.10.25	Eemdijk - Amsterdamsche FC	1:2 ✺
Dutch Tweede Divisie
25.10.25	Spakenburg - Amsterdamsche FC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Tweede Divisie
24.05.25	Amsterdamsche FC - Excelsior Maassluis	1:1
14.12.24	Excelsior Maassluis - Amsterdamsche FC	0:2
04.05.24	Excelsior Maassluis - Amsterdamsche FC	2:1
25.11.23	Amsterdamsche FC - Excelsior Maassluis	2:2
27.05.23	Amsterdamsche FC - Excelsior Maassluis	0:0
03.12.22	Excelsior Maassluis - Amsterdamsche FC	1:4
24.05.22	Amsterdamsche FC - Excelsior Maassluis	2:1

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